TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,113,813
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,310,749

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,113,813 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,712 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes2c4,793,354$111,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,451.0511916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes2c3,634,425$57,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,385.56333%1 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes2c892,328$19,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,781.09166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick1cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes1c524,832$7,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,461.9712921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes1c487,956$3,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,991.373839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes2c263,674$5,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,654.023125.8%8 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+135.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes2c203,412$3,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,182.74293.4%1 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+102%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes2c198,005$2,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,986.75240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd645…a047backed Yes2c167,909$2,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,893.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbabe…fe97backed Yes2c148,875$2,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,622.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes2c134,678$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,354.4970%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes2c131,342$2,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,582.81273.7%1 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-24.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5814…aeabbacked Yes1c125,948$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes2c125,059$2,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,731.16185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+146.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes2c110,839$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.033324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…a69ebacked Yes1c109,336$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481280%0 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes2c96,777$2,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,118.392516%4 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes1c96,412$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.64195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid+137.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ab…8145backed Yes2c90,438$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.06119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick3cpaid+392.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…0946backed Yes2c81,840$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fcf…f1b9backed Yes2c80,727$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…396abacked Yes2c80,697$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba56…59d9backed Yes2c80,306$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1623…e0ecbacked Yes2c80,287$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9b9…3f19backed Yes2c80,205$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes1c80,063$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.753447.1%16 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+144.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01a…3c58backed Yes2c80,023$1,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c1b…df8fbacked Yes2c80,013$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d6…a24dbacked Yes2c79,913$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,838.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x053b…31efbacked Yes2c79,889$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b14…0410backed Yes2c79,744$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cad…6ec1backed Yes2c79,717$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd052…4e0cbacked Yes2c79,700$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec6…6e73backed Yes2c79,673$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfb…7bbabacked Yes2c79,450$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3159…5842backed Yes2c79,308$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa7…ec7ebacked Yes2c79,303$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0588…cacfbacked Yes2c79,159$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ec…4bcbbacked Yes2c79,066$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba80…d1babacked Yes2c79,035$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35dc…019abacked Yes2c78,727$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3a8…e667backed Yes2c78,717$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eb1…4325backed Yes2c78,644$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ca…4ed3backed Yes2c78,617$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcca0…03b1backed Yes2c78,555$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x091d…020cbacked Yes2c78,478$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed7c…345bbacked Yes2c78,467$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c6a…0f97backed Yes2c78,443$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d01…ff27backed Yes2c78,438$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd528…c876backed Yes2c78,433$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94b5…8cd5backed Yes2c78,423$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b3a…3efcbacked Yes2c78,370$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c01…c7cfbacked Yes2c78,344$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf2…d97bbacked Yes2c78,314$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bb5…599ebacked Yes2c78,293$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9a…ee69backed Yes2c78,247$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc577…377abacked Yes2c78,235$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa343…e41cbacked Yes2c78,225$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…e9cfbacked Yes2c78,116$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bf…f89bbacked Yes2c78,097$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d2…08a3backed Yes2c78,073$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07a8…46acbacked Yes2c78,071$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d61…f08abacked Yes2c78,071$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5044…b4fcbacked Yes2c78,066$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f8…e9ccbacked Yes2c78,044$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ed…5a4abacked Yes2c77,983$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53fb…c954backed Yes2c77,973$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e7…0a35backed Yes2c77,950$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x361d…3458backed Yes2c77,904$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb8…62f0backed Yes2c77,902$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4b2…4b1abacked Yes2c77,837$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1136…f020backed Yes2c77,807$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4257…e2c8backed Yes2c77,798$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7f…bd69backed Yes2c77,793$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x294f…63babacked Yes2c77,793$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df5…b882backed Yes2c77,779$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6eb9backed Yes2c77,775$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed4…edc7backed Yes2c77,775$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3556…fc0ebacked Yes2c77,770$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa099…526cbacked Yes2c77,736$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f8…ce7ebacked Yes2c77,699$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725c…0b5cbacked Yes2c77,697$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x302f…1639backed Yes2c77,688$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc17c…0bebbacked Yes2c77,680$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0add…da3ebacked Yes2c77,671$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a53…934ebacked Yes2c77,668$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x924b…85e3backed Yes2c77,634$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x052f…c8aabacked Yes2c77,610$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3b2…fc07backed Yes2c77,574$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a7…2ceabacked Yes2c77,526$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,783.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1dd…4720backed Yes2c77,518$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab99…e926backed Yes2c77,505$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38b6…f329backed Yes2c77,487$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7468…e6b4backed Yes2c77,444$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3e7…a55abacked Yes2c77,420$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf0a…d1c3backed Yes2c77,365$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe614…be06backed Yes2c77,354$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa3…18c5backed Yes2c77,330$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fd8…0e66backed Yes2c77,313$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f8f…f906backed Yes2c77,288$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.