TailMyPicks
Market

Champions League · resolved market

Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,076,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,831,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,076,588 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes0c615,575$2,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,462.31010%1 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick1cpaid+259.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes1c362,233$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.2611916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…a69ebacked Yes1c342,565$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.4280%0 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes0c333,993$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.12333%1 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c270,140$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.1312921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes1c246,959$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.96240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes0c226,465$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.173125.8%8 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+135.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes0c206,875$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.861915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-74.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…2852backed Yes0c171,466$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.9320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c167,000$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907293.4%1 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+102%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2023…2d55backed Yes0c148,641$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.64205%1 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e61…9860backed Yes0c138,406$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.36150%0 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e3…e78ebacked Yes1c126,088$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.83616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick2cpaid+669.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Yes0c85,164$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.66128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c72,532$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.52484.2%2 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+54.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ee…7182backed Yes0c47,906$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6028…10eebacked Yes1c47,552$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick6cpaid+126.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1857…c0cebacked Yes0c45,284$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.06156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick1cpaid+250.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450f…f7c8backed Yes1c44,666$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes0c43,999$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1585512.7%7 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c06…f177backed Yes1c43,446$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec0d…25ecbacked Yes1c43,078$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2add…33efbacked Yes1c43,035$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c42,862$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6422.4%1 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick0cpaid+138.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa135…89dcbacked Yes1c42,768$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbb…0afcbacked Yes1c42,729$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc01…710cbacked Yes1c42,438$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e73…e769backed Yes1c42,363$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73dd…7a5bbacked Yes1c42,169$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x515f…cea5backed Yes1c42,132$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c88…7c6cbacked Yes1c41,460$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec02…8a96backed Yes1c41,391$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.7430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde95…6c67backed Yes1c41,278$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7902…6341backed Yes1c41,231$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bae…a638backed Yes1c41,217$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x573d…40e1backed Yes1c41,162$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a1d…b3d5backed Yes1c41,159$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ed…c19fbacked Yes1c41,114$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f6d…5c16backed Yes1c41,063$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fac…dc88backed Yes1c41,031$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b8…4e45backed Yes1c40,870$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb064…3d25backed Yes1c40,846$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a18…3dc5backed Yes1c40,826$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90b4…a4a2backed Yes1c40,647$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0afe…9701backed Yes1c40,138$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f5…b5bebacked Yes1c39,946$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7107…adcbbacked Yes1c39,840$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3113…e94ebacked Yes1c39,725$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aed…062ebacked Yes1c39,714$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde46…cda1backed Yes1c39,634$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c92…41dfbacked Yes1c39,429$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb50c…d22bbacked Yes1c39,134$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcddd…0530backed Yes1c39,104$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6944…9c7cbacked Yes1c39,101$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1367…8361backed Yes1c38,709$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca8…7454backed Yes1c38,632$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc32f…3188backed Yes1c38,569$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0d…b0aebacked Yes1c38,473$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2036…c305backed Yes1c38,279$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39ef…bbb3backed Yes1c38,131$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a7cbacked Yes1c38,079$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a60…dfe6backed Yes1c37,897$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555d…8fdfbacked Yes1c37,871$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8377…a542backed Yes1c37,837$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660e…f5b4backed Yes1c37,771$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6274…a100backed Yes1c37,552$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b73…d307backed Yes1c37,414$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c7…3d5ebacked Yes1c37,402$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5acc…2f55backed Yes1c37,354$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b65…c4b2backed Yes1c36,464$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.7160%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes0c36,372$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9810419.2%20 W · 84 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c00…4798backed Yes1c36,065$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…0609backed Yes1c35,912$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7af8…1a01backed Yes1c35,616$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d94…22a5backed Yes1c33,765$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7889…5d6ebacked Yes0c33,000$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6670%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c5f…f206backed Yes1c29,805$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd477…e6b7backed Yes1c28,008$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a88…3b17backed Yes0c28,007$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9fe…0675backed Yes0c26,578$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9860%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c25,806$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.34244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick0cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Yes0c25,469$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9819150.3%96 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabd8…787cbacked Yes1c25,108$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.06273.7%1 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+95.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes1c24,281$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.8711132.4%36 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes0c21,400$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736817.6%12 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45f6…4397backed Yes0c21,154$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4670%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec5…f4c7backed Yes0c20,083$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes1c20,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f38…7f4abacked Yes1c18,563$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ca…6fbbbacked Yes1c18,539$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4240…9216backed Yes1c18,523$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7b5…33e1backed Yes1c18,461$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd57f…9ca5backed Yes1c18,387$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x318b…4fb1backed Yes1c18,382$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84e0…1fe4backed Yes1c18,363$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x769e…daf9backed Yes1c18,324$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb60a…2ccfbacked Yes1c18,317$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe212…f0f8backed Yes1c18,290$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0893…54eabacked Yes1c18,287$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeaf…0984backed Yes1c18,282$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.