TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,315,629
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,961,296

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,315,629 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 704 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes1c3,195,652$16,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,359.57240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf541…74f7backed Yes1c1,720,591$8,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,602.95150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes0c720,242$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,560.46190%0 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c590,670$2,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,956.75484.2%2 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+54.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c438,888$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.32244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick0cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c376,887$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.5112921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes0c261,197$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.24332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+106.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c207,995$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.97293.4%1 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+102%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa667…84febacked Yes1c200,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-90.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes0c177,307$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.31333%1 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Yes0c177,091$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.582433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes1c152,133$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.66100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b57…4959backed Yes1c127,527$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0abe…6127backed Yes1c123,072$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e74…22b1backed Yes1c123,072$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd62…3966backed Yes1c122,225$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.5730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c117,212$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.87422.4%1 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick0cpaid+138.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes1c80,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc288…3480backed Yes0c79,239$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.72185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-77.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…a69ebacked Yes1c75,833$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455280%0 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ff…200bbacked Yes1c61,112$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb331…dd5cbacked Yes0c61,068$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d7e…56b6backed Yes1c56,074$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.4420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a3…de34backed Yes1c55,814$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.8920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…6e91backed Yes1c55,669$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.6220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec60…981bbacked Yes1c55,638$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.4620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61aa…0208backed Yes1c55,627$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e0…79b8backed Yes1c54,769$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa05…00a0backed Yes1c52,197$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3814…5202backed Yes0c52,000$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b0c…d783backed Yes0c52,000$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea43…d4ffbacked Yes0c52,000$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71d0…b44cbacked Yes0c52,000$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b53…39c7backed Yes0c52,000$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70fc…800bbacked Yes0c52,000$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df8…74adbacked Yes0c52,000$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f6…da41backed Yes0c52,000$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc65…b722backed Yes0c52,000$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5346…2552backed Yes1c50,290$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7764…62ecbacked Yes1c41,341$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698d…959dbacked Yes0c40,012$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ba…74d8backed Yes1c40,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff24…2587backed Yes0c39,000$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0882…57e5backed Yes0c39,000$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab59…ea9abacked Yes0c38,167$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8013…c2cdbacked Yes0c36,283$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8211…ea67backed Yes0c35,297$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f8…2752backed Yes0c35,013$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1b…c036backed Yes0c34,194$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.88160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x384b…6e4ebacked Yes1c31,163$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes0c30,058$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.17130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2acd…d7e7backed Yes1c29,775$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02cb…1f01backed Yes0c27,906$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae0e…2707backed Yes0c27,509$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c48…61f2backed Yes0c27,480$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51c1…86a2backed Yes0c26,994$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.98130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9631…c21fbacked Yes0c24,601$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6863…a8c7backed Yes0c23,251$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe64…2fd2backed Yes0c22,947$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1080…964ebacked Yes0c22,050$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdf7…5d22backed Yes0c21,910$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128f…3c5abacked Yes1c21,500$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b4b…98d0backed Yes1c21,500$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf71…3fbcbacked Yes0c20,707$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d7…3f97backed Yes0c20,707$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa029…d0f4backed Yes0c20,707$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea7e…a2a8backed Yes0c20,707$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8655…da1bbacked Yes0c20,707$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e2…61a1backed Yes0c20,660$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c52…6af4backed Yes0c20,613$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4260…378bbacked Yes0c20,558$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes1c20,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+146.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206817.6%12 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42cb…cd00backed Yes0c19,916$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dff…8e31backed Yes0c19,888$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.671315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick8cpaid-66.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa834…d8dabacked Yes0c19,834$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7209…9f55backed Yes0c19,834$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e90…b038backed Yes0c19,635$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf956…40eabacked Yes0c19,547$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0116…40e9backed Yes0c19,361$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefb0…3228backed Yes0c19,108$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe323…e3f9backed Yes0c19,075$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aea…7003backed Yes0c19,020$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ce…5d60backed Yes0c18,987$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.96100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad9…89f1backed Yes0c18,987$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.96147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c92…25b1backed Yes0c18,965$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x474f…2e46backed Yes0c18,934$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaffd…a19cbacked Yes0c18,754$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3d…9cc9backed Yes0c18,754$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98f4…9961backed Yes0c18,728$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c23…b2a8backed Yes0c18,599$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.860%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb5e…2f7ebacked Yes0c18,599$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b18…51ffbacked Yes0c18,599$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.860%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b98…5fcebacked Yes0c18,599$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb20…1bc5backed Yes0c18,455$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.37120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7afa…fb71backed Yes0c18,354$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.06137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-89.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca67…07fcbacked Yes0c17,922$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.77120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb447…0cb6backed Yes0c17,875$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bb2…6332backed Yes0c17,712$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa674…231bbacked Yes0c17,700$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.