Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68dac65c24b962829f3a3219f4444b2c88da7325acf100b91378023488dea20b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,584,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,589,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,584,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 553 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0ea…cbf1backed Yes | 12c | 270,954$33,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,317.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 16c | 73,415$11,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,538.72 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 10c | 68,555$7,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,008.86 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 10c | 61,320$6,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,421.7 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 10c | 55,135$5,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,704.48 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Yes | 11c | 49,772$5,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,474.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 12c | 47,824$5,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,869.54 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…1ef8backed Yes | 27c | 45,350$12,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,153.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Yes | 13c | 44,765$5,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,722.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 14cpaid | +147%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f33…2233backed Yes | 12c | 43,516$5,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,013.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…fe87backed Yes | 14c | 42,981$6,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,066.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Yes | 12c | 33,268$4,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,108.94 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8b…d89dbacked Yes | 11c | 30,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 13c | 30,000$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,901.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb849…3c65backed Yes | 12c | 29,038$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 6c | 28,182$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.62 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 12c | 25,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.99 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 15c | 19,184$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.76 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 12c | 17,426$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.81 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 14c | 16,588$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.53 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 24c | 16,007$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.98 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…0fa2backed Yes | 19c | 15,934$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 11c | 15,202$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.84 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897c…b4ecbacked Yes | 27c | 14,955$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 13c | 14,416$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.28 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 13c | 13,425$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.22 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 12c | 13,243$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.55 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Yes | 13c | 11,900$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 9c | 11,856$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.06 | 48 | 4.2%2 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 13c | 11,646$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.33 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 0c | 11,606$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…079fbacked Yes | 12c | 11,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 26c | 10,666$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,773.16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 12c | 10,106$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.11 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked Yes | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 24c | 9,974$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.08 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 12c | 9,734$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.04 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes | 17c | 8,155$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.83 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 14c | 8,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +420.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f5…8746backed Yes | 9c | 7,716$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 13c | 7,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +400%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 13c | 6,089$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.34 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 13c | 5,500$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…962dbacked Yes | 19c | 5,323$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.12 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,274$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…b343backed Yes | 11c | 5,111$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.21 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 9c | 4,900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b5…defabacked Yes | 13c | 4,256$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 12c | 4,005$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.33 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…6242backed Yes | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a5…e67cbacked Yes | 25c | 3,984$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Yes | 11c | 3,884$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0877…0eecbacked Yes | 13c | 3,849$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.37 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6045…db96backed Yes | 13c | 3,842$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…d2b9backed Yes | 14c | 3,710$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +2,433.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…a98cbacked Yes | 11c | 3,687$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2c…9a03backed Yes | 13c | 3,669$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes | 12c | 3,654$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.97 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…a7a6backed Yes | 11c | 3,636$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 12c | 3,400$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.99 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 12c | 3,310$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.94 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0356…11a8backed Yes | 11c | 3,182$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 13c | 3,163$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.19 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…9af7backed Yes | 12c | 3,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…15f1backed Yes | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 12c | 2,806$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.64 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…241cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,684$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f00…7addbacked Yes | 11c | 2,668$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.45 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 9c | 2,522$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.96 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Yes | 20c | 2,500$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 19c | 2,500$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 12c | 2,335$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.89 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,278$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.84 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b3…09debacked Yes | 12c | 2,260$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…70d2backed Yes | 12c | 2,250$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…f2c2backed Yes | 12c | 2,250$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd41…6bffbacked Yes | 12c | 2,240$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…905dbacked Yes | 20c | 2,233$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…e290backed Yes | 12c | 2,230$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Yes | 13c | 2,199$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.37 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…8f9fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,196$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.74 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,150$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…af66backed Yes | 10c | 2,150$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.99 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes | 12c | 2,132$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…a861backed Yes | 12c | 2,083$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed No | 79c | 2,080$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.86 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56dc…f02bbacked Yes | 12c | 2,035$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…b4c2backed Yes | 13c | 2,002$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4107…e29cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3283…1da9backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e7…d258backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?this page
- Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Bologna win the UEFA Champions League? No won
- Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Celtic win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Girona win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will RB Leipzig win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Red Bull Salzburg win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Slovan Bratislava win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Sparta Prague win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Sturm Graz win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Stuttgart win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Young Boys win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.