TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,175,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,284,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,175,077 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,099 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes0c330,129$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.031338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes17c127,094$20,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,974.952626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes12c88,503$10,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,776.7411916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes18c79,178$14,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,157.412740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes17c78,585$13,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,457.34273.7%1 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-24.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Yes14c74,984$10,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,436.113928.2%11 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+106.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95dc…8a68backed Yes18c61,000$10,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,98010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5f…966ebacked Yes18c61,000$11,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,10210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…a97fbacked Yes18c61,000$11,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,04110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c69…4ecbbacked Yes19c61,000$11,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,46810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62cb…4ca3backed Yes17c60,000$10,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,44010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd10d…51d5backed Yes17c60,000$10,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,44010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd40…3221backed Yes18c60,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d1…fd4ebacked Yes18c60,000$10,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,56010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9855…2286backed Yes18c60,000$10,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,62010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5959…4009backed Yes18c60,000$10,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,56010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0af2…291cbacked Yes17c60,000$10,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,44010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f20…ea20backed Yes18c60,000$10,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,74010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…138abacked Yes16c59,000$9,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,20410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8871…0cabbacked Yes15c58,000$8,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,70010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes17c57,298$9,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,606.764746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes16c51,836$8,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,313.1812921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes18c50,837$8,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,986.0212147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6be…e346backed Yes16c47,156$7,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,391.6195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-84%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x801e…8d2ebacked Yes12c44,088$5,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,310.2630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes16c35,242$5,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,505.16428.1%18 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+70.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes17c34,704$6,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,035.92195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid+137.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes15c33,857$5,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,123.7125735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdba…3e7abacked Yes18c22,555$4,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,080.67219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked Yes15c22,043$3,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,386.681546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes17c21,133$3,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,588.13333%1 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb913…e52fbacked Yes19c17,466$3,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,342.7650%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Yes18c17,141$3,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,036.432934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes10c15,468$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.852516%4 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Yes18c14,764$2,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,623.671747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…15f1backed Yes17c14,320$2,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,494.52714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-33.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e30…3895backed Yes16c12,790$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0be2…9919backed Yes16c12,660$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.2730%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…2b81backed Yes17c12,461$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,179.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb833…3ff7backed Yes16c12,000$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b26…f8f0backed Yes17c11,705$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed Yes12c11,494$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.852227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90d5…7a88backed Yes17c11,493$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e2a…07bfbacked Yes29c11,197$3,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,213.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes8c9,883$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.4624742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes18c8,791$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6002528%7 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-47.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8666…d7c7backed Yes17c8,747$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadc3…ad2abacked Yes16c8,685$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8e…2bf2backed Yes18c8,204$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes17c8,011$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.95263.8%1 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick13cpaid-73.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd67…0bbebacked Yes19c7,729$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x567f…6a22backed Yes13c7,500$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.6740%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x75a4…ce60backed Yes14c7,195$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43c3…8371backed Yes15c6,689$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c70…e76dbacked Yes12c6,621$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.0340%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b6…c62bbacked Yes15c6,609$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+44.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf0…6215backed Yes16c6,484$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.21147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+15.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4836…6dd4backed Yes15c6,467$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc895…116cbacked Yes16c6,272$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc12…ce48backed Yes16c6,211$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes18c6,056$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-65.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7f…d665backed Yes8c5,947$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x862d…36aebacked Yes17c5,872$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f30…1379backed Yes18c5,747$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc7…0d5dbacked Yes17c5,718$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b61…c9eebacked Yes18c5,620$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.23520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-72.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc469…dd61backed Yes10c5,553$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.360%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea83…d96bbacked Yes10c5,521$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec4d…b8babacked Yes18c5,361$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes14c5,004$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.64520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-74.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9145…5e49backed Yes19c4,987$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f7…fbb6backed Yes12c4,913$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdddb…d0b1backed Yes15c4,886$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.73633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8219…f1fabacked Yes14c4,853$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.872015%3 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-73.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes17c4,783$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82012333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed Yes17c4,726$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.4510953.2%58 W · 51 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x285f…fb2bbacked Yes16c4,520$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.84333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes16c4,421$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+285.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec4…d553backed Yes17c4,348$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.951020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-66.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd46…4b28backed Yes16c4,300$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.581540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x975b…2d5fbacked Yes18c4,039$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.831118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-68.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bea…2becbacked Yes12c3,941$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.17944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x054b…8477backed Yes14c3,923$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.4360%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No54c3,873$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.67862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick28cpaid+498.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes12c3,866$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.953710.8%4 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick8cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x905a…11bebacked Yes17c3,837$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df0…48f0backed Yes18c3,623$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked Yes15c3,515$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.394639.1%18 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ffe…be6fbacked Yes15c3,433$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-53.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb690…7be3backed Yes17c3,336$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5470…541abacked Yes17c3,302$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6a…3134backed Yes11c3,246$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.6730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b5c…f96fbacked Yes18c3,107$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0877…0eecbacked Yes16c3,050$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.0570%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9fe…afecbacked Yes18c3,017$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1d…eec8backed Yes17c3,013$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1375…4f7bbacked Yes17c3,007$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf91…e864backed Yes15c3,000$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b8e…3299backed Yes17c2,995$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3a…7ea0backed Yes17c2,953$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.