Champions League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x586e7ee86609bd6ea5b71bddff7ea7877100c03d22ece5a336baa98aadacdb1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,318,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,573,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,318,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 13c | 115,149$15,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,067.82 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687a…7650backed No | 78c | 107,817$84,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,719.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f3…cf5bbacked No | 78c | 101,511$79,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,332.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Yes | 10c | 89,059$8,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,870.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 14cpaid | +147%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe561…97cfbacked Yes | 10c | 88,744$8,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,869.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 18c | 70,477$13,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,036.86 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 16c | 53,710$8,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,780.38 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…12e0backed Yes | 3c | 51,000$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 15c | 47,294$7,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,238.18 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 11c | 33,541$3,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,688.62 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 12c | 30,788$3,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,741.27 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e3…2b53backed Yes | 15c | 29,992$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,498.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 4c | 27,401$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.95 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 5c | 25,075$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.39 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 8c | 23,097$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.75 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 15c | 18,059$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.67 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 8c | 16,457$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.45 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +187.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 12c | 13,658$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.45 | 48 | 4.2%2 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56dc…f02bbacked Yes | 3c | 13,484$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f93…8b53backed Yes | 25c | 12,023$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886a…c167backed Yes | 24c | 11,716$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1841…1ce8backed Yes | 9c | 11,103$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3779…0f80backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 7c | 9,767$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.93 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001c…5ab8backed Yes | 7c | 9,719$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 8c | 9,349$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.59 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 3c | 8,754$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.49 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 7c | 8,298$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 9c | 7,309$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.72 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4857…9e49backed Yes | 8c | 6,722$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes | 7c | 6,515$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.74 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…2b73backed Yes | 16c | 6,500$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +1,370.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc469…dd61backed Yes | 22c | 6,407$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 15c | 6,300$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.99 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c5…7ce7backed Yes | 9c | 6,006$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf056…36bbbacked Yes | 9c | 5,885$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1194…c8d9backed Yes | 17c | 5,795$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f73…557fbacked Yes | 9c | 5,539$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 3c | 5,315$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…d035backed Yes | 8c | 5,191$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 3c | 5,073$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.86 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f1…f66fbacked Yes | 9c | 4,187$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed Yes | 5c | 4,118$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.62 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…2ad4backed Yes | 22c | 3,864$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573b…3436backed Yes | 4c | 3,820$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…4cb9backed No | 79c | 3,811$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…af66backed Yes | 19c | 3,700$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.43 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 4c | 3,676$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.78 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ba…5c0ebacked Yes | 24c | 3,637$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…394dbacked Yes | 16c | 3,556$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aff…53e6backed Yes | 17c | 3,529$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…d3d9backed Yes | 3c | 3,125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b81…7902backed Yes | 17c | 3,093$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf34…86b5backed Yes | 23c | 3,033$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…ca2bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,947$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e37…8b08backed Yes | 7c | 2,935$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29fa…2968backed Yes | 23c | 2,779$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cac…6fa7backed Yes | 16c | 2,766$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +594.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2b…b6c5backed Yes | 23c | 2,623$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes | 9c | 2,525$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…6ab0backed Yes | 9c | 2,525$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.25 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ce…420cbacked Yes | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…4035backed Yes | 22c | 2,411$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +276.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…a781backed Yes | 13c | 2,313$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6887…2359backed Yes | 22c | 2,295$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed Yes | 9c | 2,260$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.93 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3afe…01d4backed Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Yes | 9c | 2,220$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdd…b5c8backed Yes | 23c | 2,154$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c9…6c2ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,152$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…07f3backed Yes | 17c | 2,033$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff5…9887backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…a9c8backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…a1cebacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6a…3134backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…bee1backed Yes | 14c | 1,950$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc914…c458backed Yes | 13c | 1,867$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 9c | 1,860$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 22c | 1,845$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.87 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0b…5cd6backed Yes | 22c | 1,818$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4c…e964backed Yes | 17c | 1,766$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,744$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 9c | 1,709$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.1 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c9…849abacked Yes | 23c | 1,700$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…4b49backed Yes | 15c | 1,686$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc69…d4fbbacked Yes | 22c | 1,636$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…272fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,537$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 20c | 1,519$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.87 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…65cabacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…1494backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…710dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc927…0b57backed Yes | 9c | 1,448$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…5d06backed Yes | 23c | 1,415$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf5…6db3backed Yes | 8c | 1,400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…ac5fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,389$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83aa…62ddbacked Yes | 17c | 1,317$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?this page
- Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Bologna win the UEFA Champions League? No won
- Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Celtic win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Girona win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will RB Leipzig win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Red Bull Salzburg win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Slovan Bratislava win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Sparta Prague win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Sturm Graz win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Stuttgart win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Young Boys win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.