TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc88e…f3e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
238
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 57 out of 100; worst Commodities at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7114.1%10 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$7,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,098.7
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39,526Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39,526.48
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$9,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,378.2
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$124,640Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+489.6%+$610,187.02
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.29
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$195.78
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31,890.07
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$4,887Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,886.8
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,125
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,499.99
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$3,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,955.5
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$3,487Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,486.99
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13,436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,436.29
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.4
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$6,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,008.94
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$266,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$266,224.96
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,620
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,104.6
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,676Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,676.5
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,226.99
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,515.49
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-50.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.36
Will West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$9,917Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,917.28
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$364.99
Will Liverpool vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$631.23
Newcastle United wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$203.57
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,988Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,988.14
Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$599.99
Bournemouth wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$366.21
Will Newcastle win on 2025-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$57
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Chelsea win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.76
Brentford wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Tottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$44.4
Manchester United wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$154.32
Everton wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$372
West Ham United wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Will Chelsea vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$200.98
Will Brighton vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$34.39
Will Crystal Palace vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$26.73
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$612.91
Will Aston Villa vs. Ipswich end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+426.3%+$8,100
Ipswich Town wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$779.27
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40,900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$42,569.6
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,388Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+67.5%+$1,612
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$341.37
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$769Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+133.7%+$1,028.4
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,131.48
Will Arsenal vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$273.17
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$411.4
Will Bayern Munich vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$270
Will Feyenoord vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15.89
Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Lille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+354.5%+$81.77
Will Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$219.78
Will Club Brugge vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15,067.82
Will Atalanta win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+108.3%+$104
Will Monaco vs. Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17.95
Will Atalanta win on 2025-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$70
All 19 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,074Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+150.6%+$6,137.09
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,563Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,562.57
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$396.42
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,876Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$4,875.98
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+334.8%+$369.6
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$556.62
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$224.8
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12,647Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+56.2%+$7,111.35
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,873Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$3,872.99
Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+143.9%+$59
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+119.7%+$745.57
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+100%+$1,000
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
Yieldbasis FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+100%+$99.5
Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,451Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+135.3%+$1,963.87
Plasma >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$212.43
WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$821Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$820.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-63.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$894.91
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,392.88
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.4
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$361.53
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Pistons vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$44
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-45.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$625.98
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$9,413Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,413.12
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$668.4
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$47.34
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$371
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.58
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$77.57
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$34.49
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,663Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+44.9%+$1,196.6
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12,518Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$12,517.67
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$102
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$5,296Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+273.5%+$14,485.13
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,315Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$4,009.26
Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$86.91
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Genoa CFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,200
Will Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,640.35
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.78
Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,399.99
Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.19
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$369.95
Will Juventus vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$1,380
Will Atalanta win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,328.93
Will Juventus win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$271.17
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$65.38
Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.35
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$330
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.57
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$619.99
Will Aryna Sabalenka win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,325Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+42.2%+$559.5
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+809.1%+$93.45
Will Barbora Krejcikova win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.6
Will Elena Rybakina win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$359.64
Will Marketa Vondrousova win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Qinwen Zheng win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.08
Will Ons Jabeur win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.77
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+164.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Topuria vs. Hollowaybacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$393.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$210
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16,120
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.