Fed Rates · resolved market
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71da2bbc04a7eae0d8ef739c17025d85917c0ea7db07646b6400a4f6ccb9f304
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,400,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,037,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,400,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,643 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed Yes | 21c | 358,975$77,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,070.77 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed No | 71c | 154,256$109,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,822.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…5bcfbacked Yes | 17c | 132,685$22,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,176.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 26c | 119,813$31,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,414.73 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x107c…fcc8backed Yes | 4c | 112,530$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Yes | 15c | 105,684$15,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,353.9 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…fb6cbacked Yes | 4c | 91,119$3,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,672.74 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d34…33f1backed Yes | 3c | 88,578$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…a960backed Yes | 34c | 85,564$29,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,147.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 21c | 85,325$18,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,231.32 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf279…66a4backed Yes | 5c | 84,273$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f23…b36ebacked Yes | 4c | 79,787$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,181.63 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…d091backed Yes | 3c | 77,768$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada7…2a51backed Yes | 4c | 74,562$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…426bbacked Yes | 2c | 70,556$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +233.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78c…ff0abacked Yes | 36c | 70,014$25,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,370.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 3c | 61,175$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.52 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 36c | 60,031$21,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,577.11 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd18f…681ebacked Yes | 12c | 56,577$7,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,018.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d12…007fbacked Yes | 5c | 56,504$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…3725backed Yes | 21c | 50,527$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 15c | 47,169$7,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,075.35 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 10c | 44,003$4,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,285.15 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 6c | 43,386$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.71 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba3…6055backed Yes | 4c | 43,166$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.91 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 31c | 42,919$13,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,312.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 26c | 42,758$11,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,128.21 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24aa…c5e0backed Yes | 7c | 41,423$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebd…2882backed Yes | 30c | 38,822$11,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,646.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 26c | 35,033$9,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,187.39 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…a2cdbacked Yes | 12c | 34,437$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250.24 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9206…5b3ebacked Yes | 26c | 34,394$8,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,942.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…4041backed Yes | 3c | 32,621$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…31a0backed Yes | 26c | 31,758$8,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,355.42 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 9c | 31,350$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.42 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f5…6c3dbacked Yes | 3c | 31,100$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed Yes | 23c | 30,527$7,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,158.49 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…acb7backed Yes | 15c | 28,385$4,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,237.45 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…db12backed Yes | 4c | 27,593$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 37c | 27,126$10,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,098.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…27babacked Yes | 9c | 26,500$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 17c | 26,436$4,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,507.1 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…c690backed Yes | 3c | 25,909$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…cd86backed Yes | 28c | 24,237$6,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,790.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Yes | 41c | 23,936$9,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,773.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 35c | 22,909$8,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,070.83 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…00efbacked Yes | 0c | 22,050$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…0db1backed Yes | 18c | 22,036$3,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,877.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…0420backed Yes | 33c | 21,167$7,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,059.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd7…59e6backed Yes | 4c | 20,872$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x921a…ee8dbacked Yes | 6c | 20,692$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.74 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…28b6backed Yes | 3c | 20,567$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75b…4121backed Yes | 5c | 20,377$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c17…04aebacked Yes | 4c | 20,205$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd7…3701backed Yes | 4c | 20,021$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…9af7backed Yes | 29c | 20,000$5,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,783.64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…076ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…8a4abacked Yes | 4c | 20,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b2…f566backed Yes | 20c | 19,768$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x956e…f324backed Yes | 6c | 18,708$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 3c | 18,526$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.89 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 42c | 18,479$7,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,737.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…d1d1backed Yes | 32c | 17,919$5,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,711.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…15bebacked Yes | 1c | 17,467$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd9…bd75backed Yes | 3c | 17,093$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc060…8956backed Yes | 3c | 17,023$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…b5bcbacked Yes | 4c | 16,478$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8352…d51abacked Yes | 31c | 16,345$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 70c | 15,647$10,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,684.43 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 10c | 15,631$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.95 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2012…a7bdbacked Yes | 4c | 15,411$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00bc…e0d0backed Yes | 4c | 15,083$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…3982backed Yes | 17c | 15,007$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c3…6493backed Yes | 5c | 14,980$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes | 11c | 14,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…3684backed Yes | 40c | 13,926$5,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,545.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 13,564$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.93 | 200 | 21.5%43 W · 157 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b07…d990backed Yes | 3c | 13,467$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 8c | 13,172$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.22 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +559.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…c983backed Yes | 37c | 12,890$4,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,784.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…c728backed Yes | 31c | 12,440$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,869.61 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…3435backed Yes | 4c | 12,284$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…a15cbacked Yes | 3c | 12,284$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f1…3548backed Yes | 33c | 12,181$3,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,963.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…2f91backed Yes | 31c | 11,706$3,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 4c | 11,356$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.62 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…4f8bbacked Yes | 4c | 11,309$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 27c | 11,040$3,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,018.7 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 16c | 10,898$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b3…ade0backed Yes | 3c | 10,893$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…caf0backed Yes | 5c | 10,538$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…b892backed Yes | 29c | 10,400$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…5c29backed Yes | 3c | 10,045$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ec…0d7cbacked Yes | 10c | 9,957$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8787…4795backed Yes | 10c | 9,895$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b38…52a5backed Yes | 3c | 9,847$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…257dbacked Yes | 3c | 9,407$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.59 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0939…8137backed Yes | 8c | 9,358$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 13c | 9,231$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…1051backed Yes | 9c | 9,200$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes won
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?No won
- Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?No won
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?No won
- Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.