Fed Rates · resolved market
Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a5d8047acd8aa377956e65bd40bfafd47ff6d528559b22530fb3822bc1afbbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,155,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,605,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,155,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 1,038,244$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.85 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 1,001,371$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.74 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -92.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 0c | 777,050$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.16 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 0c | 249,999$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…406ebacked Yes | 0c | 242,170$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.17 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…c728backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75b…4121backed Yes | 0c | 134,431$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Yes | 0c | 128,868$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807e…50d6backed Yes | 0c | 122,928$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.75 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01f4…3356backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 98,219$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.76 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…73e8backed Yes | 0c | 94,038$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 64,999$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…f013backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5805…c2b8backed Yes | 0c | 49,482$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…c67cbacked Yes | 0c | 44,807$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…248abacked Yes | 0c | 44,707$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x610c…67d5backed Yes | 0c | 44,567$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6adb…f27cbacked Yes | 0c | 44,427$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6019…548fbacked Yes | 0c | 44,007$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe5…6f6bbacked Yes | 0c | 42,897$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4d…3e88backed Yes | 0c | 42,503$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b5…5d9cbacked Yes | 0c | 41,077$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…35ecbacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…c100backed Yes | 0c | 39,950$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…4765backed Yes | 0c | 39,787$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d2…e372backed Yes | 0c | 39,643$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef73…3c7bbacked Yes | 0c | 39,517$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a60…35fabacked Yes | 0c | 39,317$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…3f9cbacked Yes | 0c | 39,247$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…7ea5backed Yes | 0c | 38,197$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…ebc3backed Yes | 0c | 37,807$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…4273backed Yes | 0c | 37,747$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8880…400abacked Yes | 0c | 37,477$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…6de5backed Yes | 0c | 37,330$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…0f2ebacked Yes | 0c | 36,987$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…31abbacked Yes | 0c | 36,847$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3215…0d4dbacked Yes | 0c | 36,477$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4798…a712backed Yes | 0c | 36,070$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…224abacked Yes | 0c | 35,657$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb99…3967backed Yes | 0c | 35,577$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fd…72a5backed Yes | 0c | 35,237$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…63e3backed Yes | 0c | 35,177$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac6…c223backed Yes | 0c | 34,827$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d12…007fbacked Yes | 0c | 34,070$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2040…6101backed Yes | 0c | 33,707$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…0601backed Yes | 0c | 33,606$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6192…5893backed Yes | 0c | 31,977$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…87a1backed Yes | 0c | 31,467$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4856…08f0backed Yes | 0c | 31,407$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…73d5backed Yes | 0c | 31,067$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa9…d41fbacked Yes | 0c | 30,542$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…d1febacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6858…7be7backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…02dfbacked Yes | 0c | 29,837$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb15…441ebacked Yes | 0c | 29,737$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d0…4903backed Yes | 0c | 29,637$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa594…cc22backed Yes | 0c | 29,597$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…704ebacked Yes | 0c | 29,407$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…59babacked Yes | 0c | 29,057$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…98f5backed Yes | 0c | 28,527$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb32d…3cfabacked Yes | 0c | 28,507$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a6…c3ebbacked Yes | 0c | 28,317$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…c18fbacked Yes | 0c | 28,007$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6398…1a8dbacked Yes | 0c | 27,907$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1da…ef8cbacked Yes | 0c | 27,837$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec6…059bbacked Yes | 0c | 27,227$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fb…c268backed Yes | 0c | 26,887$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa725…f8a4backed Yes | 0c | 26,787$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…e1a5backed Yes | 0c | 26,527$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…066cbacked Yes | 0c | 25,760$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b6…aaf2backed Yes | 0c | 25,247$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0166backed Yes | 0c | 25,112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…05e2backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2796…4562backed Yes | 1c | 23,510$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x455a…bde1backed Yes | 0c | 23,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bf…055fbacked Yes | 0c | 22,533$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6c…d848backed Yes | 0c | 21,964$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf728…2283backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe75…7dadbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…076ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0a…71b8backed Yes | 0c | 18,682$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…d5dcbacked Yes | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…c0edbacked Yes | 0c | 17,900$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Yes | 0c | 16,911$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…b8ebbacked Yes | 0c | 16,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b3…b77ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,991$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…870cbacked Yes | 0c | 15,610$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 0c | 15,576$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a4…c77bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,504$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…a495backed Yes | 0c | 15,385$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 0c | 13,775$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4e…e34bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,383$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc4…778abacked Yes | 0c | 12,111$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…46ddbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…27babacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes won
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?No won
- Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?No won
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?No won
- No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.