TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55b4…80ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
671
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1014%4 W · 97 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-87.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$56.51
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.4
Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$28.12
Will the Colts win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.3
Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$19.33
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20.3
Will Abdul Carter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.1
Will the Patriots make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.86
Will the Panthers make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.13
Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$314.08
Which conference wins the Super Bowl?backed AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$63.39
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$7,147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$7,147.4
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,785Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+583.9%+$16,264.46
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+32.7%+$324.26
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$677.22
Will Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,509.62
Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,106.7
Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$2,817Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,817.11
Will Dan Quinn win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Sam Darnold win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Derrick Henry win NFL Offensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.47
Will Jayden Daniels win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$112.79
Will Bo Nix win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$87.53
Will Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$103.54
Will Brian Thomas Jr. win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$195.24
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10014%14 W · 86 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-67.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+106.3%+$35.9
Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20.85
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+135.9%+$548.82
Will PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$42.6
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$76.6
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$37.31
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+32.9%+$45.77
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Samuel Doria Medina qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will another pairing advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.17
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.86
Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.7
Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.68
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.48
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+581.5%+$2,228.97
Will Cristian Sima win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$93
Will Nicolae Ciucă win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.43
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.78
Will Hunor Kelemen win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.29
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT994%4 W · 95 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$541.22
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.31
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.13
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Which conference wins NBA Finals?backed East · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.37
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+6,262.8%+$7,184.24
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.33
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,761Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+126.1%+$2,220.27
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+31%+$9.47
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.28
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.11
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$18,200.66
Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.77
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$893.86
Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.07
Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$17,535.73
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.35
Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$317.9
Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.43
Will the Orlando Magic win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.59
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.07
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST6124.6%15 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DOGE confirm Gold missing from Fort Knox?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump remove municipal bond tax exemption in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$57
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$82
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$58
Will Rumeysa Ozturk be deported before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.49
Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.45
Will Hillary Clinton be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.88
Will Al Gore be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Will Barack Obama be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$223.22
US-China trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+133.7%+$57.22
Will TikTok be banned again before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Trump impose tariffs on Panama in the first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12.05
Will Trump impose tariffs on Brazil in the first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+114.8%+$60.12
Will Jimmy Patronis win by more than 35%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Jimmy Patronis win by 30-35%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$132
Record low border encounters in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.3
Will Trump impose tariffs on Japan in the first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+565.4%+$316.94
Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.41
Will Trump announce tariffs on Brazil on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.81
Will Trump announce tariffs on Mexico on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$61
Will Trump announce tariffs on Canada on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Trump announce tariffs on Australia on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.6
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST4413.6%6 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-64.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Weather — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32 °C or higher on December 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.75
Will global temperature increase by between 1.37-1.41ºC in March 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in March 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.2
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in February 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$165.32
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in February 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.77
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on February 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$95.98
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 46-47°F on February 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30.73
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 44-45°F on February 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 43-44°F on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$24.75
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 41-42°F on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 40-41°F on February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$133.88
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 42-43°F on February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15.49
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+79.8%+$17.74
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 36-37°F on February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 33-34°F on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$43.66
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 31-32°F on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$62.35
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 29-30°F on February 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$243.83
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 31-32°F on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+77%+$29.51
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 27-28°F on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.97
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on February 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+61.9%+$34.4
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 30-31°F on February 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 32-33°F on February 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$98.51
Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on February 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$54.45
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-80.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$82
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Michigan State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$276.94
Will Tennessee win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$315.69
Will Tennessee win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$231.65
Will Alabama win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.52
Will Texas Tech win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$179.62
Will Purdue win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Purdue win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.28
Will Michigan win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.14
Will Kentucky win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$203.57
Will Ole Miss win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.36
Will Arkansas win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Will Arizona win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.5
Will Maryland win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$208.69
Will BYU win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$103
Will Oregon win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Iowa State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Will Colorado State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Illinois win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Will Baylor win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.44
Will UConn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Will UCLA win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Gonzaga win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.37
Will Creighton win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT333%1 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16,966Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$16,965.7
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28,909Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+4,291.7%+$1,240,689.74
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,686Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,686.22
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$3,491Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,490.77
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,877Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,877.07
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$967Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$966.89
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57,386Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$57,385.56
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$18,082.65
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23,088Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$23,087.84
Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$662Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$662.41
Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,302.9
Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,334.03
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,588Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,588.13
Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,031.49
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$139,128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$139,128.01
Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,535.84
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11,328Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11,327.98
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,257Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,257.39
Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$893.52
Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$2,959.92
Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,657Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,657.12
Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12,582Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12,581.61
Will Celtic win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52,233Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$52,232.51
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST2714.8%4 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$61.97
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,352Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+74.1%+$1,001.2
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.14
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.36
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,740Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+61.9%+$1,696.58
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.31
No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.15
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$849Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$848.58
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+150.9%+$481.11
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.23
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.38
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$340.83
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$444.3
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$572.1
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.17
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,128.96
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$4,573Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,572.76
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.6
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,552.89
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$74.56
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$446.62
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$36.65
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$27.5
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2025, EDT175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-85.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leon Draisaitl win the Hart Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$542.03
Will Connor Hellebuyck win the Hart Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$208.95
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the Hart Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.29
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+139.4%+$263.5
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$384.41
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.45
Will Alex Ovechkin break the scoring record this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.99
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.11
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.61
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.56
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.77
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.57
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.9
Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.56
Will the New York Islanders win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.94
Will the Utah Hockey Club win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.17
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.59
All 17 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-59.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 3.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$36.15
Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be more than 60?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 40 and 50?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.99
Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 30 and 40?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.41
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$101.2
Will "Wander to Wonder" win Best Animated Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+106.2%+$103
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Film at the 2025 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$251.27
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$639.57
Will 'Moana 2' gross less than $135m on 5-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$23.4
Will 'Moana 2' gross between $150-165m on 5-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$14
Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$14
Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+138.1%+$24.66
Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 70-74?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$18.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$140.2
Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Will Almanak FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Will Almanak FDV above $140M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+100.2%+$50.05
Will Almanak FDV above $120M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+100.2%+$50.05
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$51.31
Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.34
Will JEZ win the PvP trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$31.69
Will STIG win the PvP trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$16.78
Will FEI win the PvP trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$46.11
Rabby airdrop in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$12.3
Will Dogecoin reach $0.45 before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+115.3%+$48.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-65.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$24.1
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$66
Will Ohio State make the CFP National Championship Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+132.6%+$57
Will Penn State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$73.15
North Texas vs. Texas Statebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Alabama vs. Michiganbacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$61
Pittsburgh vs. Toledobacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$106
Will Clemson win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$12
Will Penn State make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$68
Will Ohio State make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$18.5
Will Texas make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$14.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-75.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another team win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$5,733Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,732.96
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$115,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$115,370.28
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14,186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+165.8%+$23,525.35
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,970Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,969.6
Will Villarreal CF win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.47
Will Athletic Bilbao win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$427
Will Real Betis win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,241.6
Will RC Celta de Vigo win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.95
Will Sevilla FC win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Real Sociedad win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,004.59
Will Valencia CF win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.38
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$113
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+127.7%+$186.79
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Will Fulham win on 2025-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Wolves win on 2025-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11.9
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$45.74
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+130.5%+$18.64
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+403.2%+$909.44
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$33.49
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$289.08
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+203%+$59.34
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$63.3
Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+498.8%+$83.3
OpenAI Sora public release in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$13.23
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-82.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$142.46
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.91
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,284.27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,239.57
Nothing Ever Happens backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,015
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.53
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+77%+$17.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick5cpaid-25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$509.99
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$590.44
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2025, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+3,757.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+30,603.7%+$3,103.46
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.95
Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$44.04
Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$23.78
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$38.25
Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+53.1%+$6.94
Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18.56
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$15.59
All 8 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-53.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-82.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-73.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2024, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-48%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-55.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-56.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Casper Ruud win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United Bankshares (UBSI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.