TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the New York Islanders win the 2025 President’s Trophy?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,462,547
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,396

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,462,547 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c80,000$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175392.6%1 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-96%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c40,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60220%0 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e7…c43dbacked Yes0c27,555$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b3…204abacked Yes0c27,555$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d3c…8e8dbacked Yes0c27,555$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcda9…df86backed Yes0c27,111$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x956c…3f3ebacked Yes0c27,005$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d7…73bcbacked Yes0c26,666$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7af…1641backed Yes0c26,666$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x620d…9ce4backed Yes0c26,666$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…b12dbacked Yes0c25,555$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea70…bea8backed Yes0c24,555$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes0c23,937$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.94175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-85.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1d8…26acbacked Yes0c21,740$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34f1…7f97backed Yes0c19,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b2…f28abacked Yes0c18,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf132…e72fbacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5005…83aabacked Yes0c14,980$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf12c…ee09backed Yes0c14,780$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd955…cefdbacked Yes0c14,510$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3959…5751backed Yes0c14,490$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbe2…b926backed Yes0c14,450$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa564…78f7backed Yes0c14,180$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x589a…feeabacked Yes0c14,080$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9f…c0afbacked Yes0c14,010$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c05…4fe8backed Yes0c13,780$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ab…157dbacked Yes0c13,460$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d20…2308backed Yes0c13,320$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8306…b977backed Yes0c13,310$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x504d…b544backed Yes0c13,300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x340e…6ed5backed Yes0c13,160$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b24…e689backed Yes0c13,140$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f9…af75backed Yes0c13,110$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03d9…a572backed Yes0c13,100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b8f…1d90backed Yes0c13,090$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ada…f14abacked Yes0c13,060$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1326…c659backed Yes0c12,940$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3094…d7e1backed Yes0c12,830$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c7…1d01backed Yes0c12,750$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x921c…c549backed Yes0c12,720$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5612…e787backed Yes0c12,560$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x406c…261cbacked Yes0c12,560$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa640…5188backed Yes0c12,530$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x075b…4f8ebacked Yes0c12,460$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19e…d3eabacked Yes0c12,410$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77e0…83f6backed Yes0c12,310$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce3…6500backed Yes0c12,290$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d3…81eabacked Yes0c12,100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3363…1589backed Yes0c11,280$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa949…afb1backed Yes0c11,200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36c0…03ebbacked Yes0c11,190$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd656…529bbacked Yes0c11,160$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0d…0163backed Yes0c11,110$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e3…43b9backed Yes0c11,060$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x028c…bc96backed Yes0c10,850$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ce…f229backed Yes0c10,490$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c9,488$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.09530%0 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eeb…e0e3backed Yes0c7,227$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x663e…61c8backed Yes0c3,642$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.