TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 President’s Trophy?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,128,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$206,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,128,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 397 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85e7…c43dbacked Yes0c192,312$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b3…204abacked Yes0c119,726$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ce…6a24backed Yes0c119,169$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea70…bea8backed Yes0c118,742$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d7…73bcbacked Yes0c112,299$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcda9…df86backed Yes0c103,920$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0b…b180backed Yes0c81,654$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7af…7ca6backed Yes0c79,650$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d3c…8e8dbacked Yes0c77,253$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b39…aed5backed Yes12c69,633$8,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,355.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7af…1641backed Yes0c68,530$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x956c…3f3ebacked Yes0c67,939$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…b12dbacked Yes0c65,825$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x931d…4e30backed Yes0c47,636$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a4…a48dbacked Yes0c41,000$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb08b…fbe9backed Yes0c41,000$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebcb…4248backed Yes0c41,000$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9716…501abacked Yes0c41,000$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x620d…9ce4backed Yes0c40,888$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bce…00afbacked Yes0c40,888$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec4f…161cbacked Yes0c40,666$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7421…5214backed Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x773f…d305backed Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0efd…b594backed Yes0c39,220$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa398…0f69backed Yes0c38,890$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe706…9f65backed Yes0c38,880$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1d8…26acbacked Yes0c38,715$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ed…15a3backed Yes0c38,649$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f5…7620backed Yes0c38,640$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7d…2fb5backed Yes0c35,880$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd9…e9aabacked Yes0c35,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x328c…066fbacked Yes0c33,740$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa24…c86dbacked Yes0c33,330$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e6…44babacked Yes0c32,850$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b76…8ea4backed Yes0c31,640$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4b…a213backed Yes0c29,360$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa092…1daabacked Yes0c29,130$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca45…7277backed Yes0c28,130$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Yes12c25,220$2,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,997.221652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd939…0d3bbacked Yes0c23,310$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b03…1ce9backed Yes0c23,150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ddd…e3f9backed Yes0c22,870$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2391…c931backed Yes0c22,820$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cf…1b93backed Yes0c22,550$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9951…123ebacked Yes0c22,500$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa163…21d0backed Yes0c22,460$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a79…3f15backed Yes0c22,440$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16de…4bc9backed Yes0c22,410$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae04…c7b1backed Yes0c22,390$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f67…66fdbacked Yes0c22,380$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa4d…908abacked Yes0c22,350$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf611…3fffbacked Yes0c22,340$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedfd…a242backed Yes0c22,220$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa298…0228backed Yes0c22,180$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d2…ac25backed Yes0c22,100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d20…fdbbbacked Yes0c22,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49cd…f544backed Yes0c21,940$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec0c…a7fabacked Yes0c21,940$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c45…fe43backed Yes0c21,940$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cd9…d1c9backed Yes0c21,900$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd021…097cbacked Yes0c21,850$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa5…cd36backed Yes0c21,840$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea7…9ab0backed Yes0c21,830$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05fa…b8edbacked Yes0c21,830$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x791d…eb31backed Yes0c21,650$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7c1…26debacked Yes0c21,500$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb06f…cf34backed Yes0c21,280$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdac…f271backed Yes0c21,190$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b37…babfbacked Yes0c21,080$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f2…bb36backed Yes0c21,030$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc07…3f74backed Yes0c20,870$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f4b…7c6fbacked Yes0c20,560$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc982…f4bfbacked Yes0c20,450$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfe…0146backed Yes0c20,100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x688e…f343backed Yes0c19,790$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5fd…bf9fbacked Yes0c19,560$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34f1…7f97backed Yes0c19,490$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b2…f28abacked Yes0c18,530$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x386a…479fbacked Yes0c18,220$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda1a…2d7dbacked Yes0c17,850$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa905…1938backed Yes0c16,480$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1462…58febacked Yes0c16,430$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f1…ce0bbacked Yes0c16,010$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95c8…887dbacked Yes0c15,660$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x215e…fafebacked Yes0c15,580$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6674…fea6backed Yes0c15,550$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbe2…b926backed Yes0c15,530$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9af5…6699backed Yes0c15,350$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cf0…02fabacked Yes0c15,290$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x276e…86b8backed Yes0c15,250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c6…cd1abacked Yes0c15,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a0…fccfbacked Yes0c15,140$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53c7…1973backed Yes0c15,090$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2850…f15abacked Yes0c15,060$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28b…2f9dbacked Yes0c15,030$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa2a…3ddcbacked Yes0c15,010$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf132…e72fbacked Yes0c14,990$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5005…83aabacked Yes0c14,970$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7796…e397backed Yes0c14,800$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb826…a326backed Yes0c14,770$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.