NHL · resolved market
Will the Golden Knights win the 2025 Preident's Trophy?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc80bfcdb5c7381aff67db9cfd6032737596f4bccbe80638ecba05e40362ed04e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 14,875$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Yes | 1c | 12,185$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.07 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 1c | 7,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 0c | 5,188$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…35c1backed Yes | 1c | 3,430$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd1…f790backed Yes | 1c | 1,523$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…6694backed Yes | 3c | 1,247$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Yes | 3c | 1,194$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 653 | 45%294 W · 359 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 7c | 1,173$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.05 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 1,053$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Yes | 5c | 369.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 7c | 291$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 8c | 287.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Golden Knights win the 2025 Preident's Trophy?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Boston Bruins win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Nashville Predators win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Utah Hockey Club win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 President’s Trophy?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.