TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2025 President’s Trophy?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,217,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$275,476

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,217,303 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x50bf…e36bbacked Yes0c203,800$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c4f…6406backed Yes0c199,180$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee28…b7cabacked Yes0c197,680$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3864…a5f2backed Yes0c196,130$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e7f…73e7backed Yes0c195,330$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dda…a97abacked Yes0c194,900$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f5d…2419backed Yes0c192,630$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b2e…9abebacked Yes0c191,160$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f7…d5bfbacked Yes0c190,830$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab1…4fdabacked Yes0c190,810$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bc…c437backed Yes0c187,850$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc31c…e4c7backed Yes0c187,800$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1890…7219backed Yes0c187,640$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe894…17e8backed Yes0c187,460$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73d8…5d81backed Yes0c185,810$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd941…2fd9backed Yes0c185,650$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6852…ce59backed Yes0c183,680$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e8…e9c1backed Yes0c181,730$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da3…c7efbacked Yes0c179,290$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ab7…0fadbacked Yes0c178,680$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a47…c943backed Yes0c178,510$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe140…a837backed Yes0c178,360$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfb…5205backed Yes0c178,270$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81df…d943backed Yes0c177,250$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4709…aa98backed Yes0c175,580$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66a0…edbfbacked Yes0c175,450$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf542…4008backed Yes0c173,620$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94bc…afe0backed Yes0c172,600$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2578…194bbacked Yes0c170,640$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622a…2de8backed Yes0c169,630$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eac…ebb5backed Yes0c168,860$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3522…2d5abacked Yes0c167,350$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9362…5441backed Yes0c166,560$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4570…dffebacked Yes0c165,070$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebd3…c2bbbacked Yes0c164,980$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6d…e791backed Yes0c162,320$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b79…a0a6backed Yes0c160,690$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9123…ac14backed Yes0c158,960$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f4e…3980backed Yes0c155,240$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5683…df3bbacked Yes0c137,280$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f12…8559backed Yes0c136,640$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3325…f953backed Yes0c129,975$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eb4…a665backed Yes0c129,280$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7128…dadfbacked Yes0c127,010$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d4…8db1backed Yes0c123,350$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e2…b2ffbacked Yes0c122,710$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a70…bd0bbacked Yes0c121,090$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb46c…b3e9backed Yes0c106,820$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c104,999$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185392.6%1 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-96%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa741…4ab7backed Yes0c101,590$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15a4…39cbbacked Yes0c100,400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbcd…37c8backed Yes0c100,210$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a89…9a8cbacked Yes0c100,090$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x721e…ff86backed Yes0c99,070$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5da…c455backed Yes0c98,730$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1f…4317backed Yes0c98,710$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ad…71adbacked Yes0c98,620$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadb1…77d4backed Yes0c98,530$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da2…889abacked Yes0c98,090$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f5…8508backed Yes0c97,780$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7df3…5132backed Yes0c97,670$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0266…30dbbacked Yes0c97,500$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f9b…18b3backed Yes0c97,350$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ee…1680backed Yes0c96,980$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8175…d5b1backed Yes0c96,830$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x957f…4646backed Yes0c96,820$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x434c…8a38backed Yes0c96,760$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f07…79d0backed Yes0c96,680$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64f8…ed0dbacked Yes0c95,890$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9e5…df90backed Yes0c95,840$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf296…cec2backed Yes0c95,610$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e58…0426backed Yes0c95,410$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0282…faeebacked Yes0c95,340$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c8…6fecbacked Yes0c94,800$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…9139backed Yes0c93,680$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bb9…4e50backed Yes0c93,650$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b5d…7b5dbacked Yes0c93,620$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc96d…42dbbacked Yes0c93,510$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3267…6fc3backed Yes0c93,210$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc6…dfd1backed Yes0c92,990$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dbe…145dbacked Yes0c92,300$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13a…b89bbacked Yes0c92,200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe325…4857backed Yes0c91,470$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0852…f14abacked Yes0c91,410$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5ea…57edbacked Yes0c91,280$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3561…b613backed Yes0c90,940$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41db…9f6ebacked Yes0c89,840$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9b…dfcdbacked Yes0c89,595$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68f8…44adbacked Yes0c89,210$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1c4…5067backed Yes0c88,930$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2409…9ad5backed Yes0c88,600$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xded2…f31cbacked Yes0c88,200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f23…7b0abacked Yes0c88,190$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3611…26c1backed Yes0c87,740$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1995…9ababacked Yes0c87,630$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de9…2d2fbacked Yes0c87,320$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9590…9cd6backed Yes0c87,290$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27d7…df55backed Yes0c87,090$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad64…9425backed Yes0c86,560$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8747…a44fbacked Yes0c86,550$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.