TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 President’s Trophy?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,281,062
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$505,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,281,062 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04cb…f4c7backed Yes0c108,119$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be3…07f3backed Yes0c105,249$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e41…40f4backed Yes0c102,133$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…0ae9backed Yes0c99,802$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5db…9a74backed Yes0c86,491$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fab…24b7backed Yes0c86,292$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe030…7508backed Yes0c86,200$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc9c…76f5backed Yes0c85,972$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c85,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170392.6%1 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-96%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0f6…7d8bbacked Yes0c84,511$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ddb…7b2ebacked Yes0c83,921$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c4…0e83backed Yes0c83,758$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeabf…45ddbacked Yes0c82,000$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef97…6357backed Yes0c81,836$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db2…df26backed Yes0c80,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb993…c0f5backed Yes0c80,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69c0…a183backed Yes0c80,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf24…1888backed Yes0c80,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x423e…169cbacked Yes0c80,000$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…0451backed Yes0c80,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x186a…b749backed Yes0c80,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8d…f425backed Yes0c80,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0fa…d91ebacked Yes0c80,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b41…120dbacked Yes0c80,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ee…3cfebacked Yes0c80,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e64…b3eabacked Yes0c80,000$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7706…5c99backed Yes0c80,000$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd0…d42dbacked Yes0c79,920$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x792d…e325backed Yes0c78,608$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52f5…62e7backed Yes0c78,139$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc658…6012backed Yes0c78,004$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedbd…dcbabacked Yes0c78,000$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f6c…27abbacked Yes0c77,000$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff7…ac6abacked Yes0c76,296$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x988a…caaebacked Yes0c76,014$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50a3…3a0bbacked Yes0c75,922$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ec…ddd5backed Yes0c73,333$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c66,671$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.41440%0 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17c6…ba8abacked Yes0c65,600$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec23…22a1backed Yes0c60,010$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf992…7512backed Yes0c59,118$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcbd…618dbacked Yes0c58,905$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf04…87d9backed Yes0c58,033$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa70…bc2dbacked Yes0c56,763$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…254cbacked Yes0c55,325$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0eb…8e93backed Yes0c54,344$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda61…2877backed Yes0c53,827$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d97…a90dbacked Yes0c50,218$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa496…b546backed Yes0c50,104$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10cb…e94bbacked Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41c6…58a1backed Yes0c49,157$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336b…c837backed Yes0c47,624$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de3…4a97backed Yes0c46,680$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5601…b5a7backed Yes0c44,473$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd1f…de05backed Yes0c43,491$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dc6…b1d4backed Yes0c42,424$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e52…d01ebacked Yes0c42,380$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf656…07eabacked Yes0c41,606$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x831e…c635backed Yes0c41,548$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cd8…9ad8backed Yes0c41,346$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4c6…9733backed Yes0c41,269$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5171…51e6backed Yes0c41,269$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4c1…5a18backed Yes0c41,243$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf54…107abacked Yes0c40,812$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c40,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60220%0 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2858…cdb2backed Yes0c38,964$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c38…b0e6backed Yes0c35,316$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…4069backed Yes0c34,940$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4c4…c148backed Yes0c34,565$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…fa0fbacked Yes0c32,227$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9391…8d83backed Yes0c32,050$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b4c…e96bbacked Yes0c31,355$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e3f…79ddbacked Yes0c29,874$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c2…acbabacked Yes0c29,833$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c28,321$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.71530%0 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d1a…d040backed Yes0c25,687$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde5f…8947backed Yes0c21,510$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd22d…e343backed Yes0c21,254$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30d…d974backed Yes0c2,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.