TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 President’s Trophy?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$780,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$794,319

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $780,870 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 427 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf1bb…5a78backed Yes38c113,715$43,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,211.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40fd…eff0backed No62c113,715$70,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,211.7450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9966…c10bbacked Yes38c108,123$41,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,086.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5717…b1f0backed No62c108,123$67,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,086.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb41b…95b2backed No69c72,000$49,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,3201100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf998…50e4backed No69c72,000$49,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,3201100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb6…e645backed Yes31c72,000$22,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,32010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bbb…3607backed No63c13,941$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,140.621850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Yes21c13,085$2,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,703.6117448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes35c7,096$2,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,477.151811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-51.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes37c4,933$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,825.0550251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No70c3,951$2,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.691,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes49c3,153$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.36633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+68.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes37c2,980$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.8831744.2%140 W · 177 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Yes25c2,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62513158.8%77 W · 54 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes39c2,156$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.314027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7403240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes39c1,990$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.796613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-75.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes37c1,607$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.938445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes9c1,162$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.81392.6%1 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-96%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes41c1,049$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.561625%4 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-47.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes49c1,001$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48812955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82b5…1c12backed No49c888$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de6…f360backed Yes42c876.16$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.91333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes46c828.45$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.41175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-85.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ac…bcf2backed Yes55c822.33$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No56c712.32$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.923339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d04…29c7backed No66c680$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x111f…af00backed Yes57c614.59$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8bb…fb35backed Yes60c583.85$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Yes60c556.97$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.1813655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Yes54c556.97$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.736940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8d…d880backed Yes55c548.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd77b…24abbacked Yes50c546.86$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98ec…7cd3backed Yes17c542$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.521822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-65%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No44c514.59$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.071833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac61…f5f7backed Yes38c483.08$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e6a…2720backed Yes48c457.34$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.762751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x795d…63e7backed Yes42c408.91$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.3730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes36c406.67$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.43225%8 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3fe…978fbacked No65c397.66$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.15862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed No52c397.05$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.9465345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes46c392.51$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.531811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde26…0972backed No54c380.14$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.88862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…351abacked Yes37c372.57$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes21c359.35$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes41c351.94$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7826547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec6…5d50backed Yes37c343$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd53b…fc94backed No61c327.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.425650%28 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No46c297.01$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.8625340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes46c278.59$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.424245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Yes17c271.24$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.581816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed No36c269.74$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.491241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2617…afc5backed No42c238.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+68.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes43c221.48$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.18119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-60.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c7e…79d5backed Yes37c221$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf720…4599backed No56c210.3$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.654240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Yes34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6880%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes60c192.96$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+66.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No40c191$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8460741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes75c189.78$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.621,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Yes39c180.12$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.277644.7%34 W · 42 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed Yes12c167$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes30c155$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed No54c154.52$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+410.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x138e…42b4backed No55c152.93$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7a…c585backed Yes40c150.51$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.65837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Yes24c149.33$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3975…626abacked No63c146.62$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.81450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4db5…bbcfbacked Yes42c145.18$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84a9…508dbacked Yes38c144.68$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb18…6ed0backed No40c143.13$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5e…d8e6backed Yes71c140.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9118…e9dabacked No59c140$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5638…224dbacked Yes39c134.15$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.491258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x581a…59d9backed Yes61c131.72$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa350…e256backed Yes42c131.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5896…74fcbacked No66c130$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes47c118$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.351,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82f8…6d8cbacked Yes44c116.85$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x705f…8814backed Yes53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes40c110.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4112438.7%48 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30cd…f9f0backed Yes34c109.81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.693828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5db3…a936backed No48c108.75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb79d…0a7ebacked No49c108.61$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb297…24f0backed Yes42c107.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.052263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7485…bc0fbacked Yes54c102.16$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9a…3c91backed No47c100.64$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f83…e17ebacked Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b5…fe40backed Yes58c98.47$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb440…6806backed Yes54c98.06$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.95520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-69.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa3e…15fdbacked Yes47c97.32$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No61c97.3$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.87652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e01…cfadbacked Yes53c96.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e1…73bdbacked Yes45c96.09$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ace…ed20backed No63c95.81$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd959…cf75backed No59c95.24$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6532…b7f5backed Yes37c94.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a1…d4a0backed Yes37c94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.