TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2741…0865

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,208
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
27

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST30319.1%58 W · 245 L-20.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 303 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+375.4%+$47.13
Will Steve Witkoff be next National Security Advisor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Will Michael Anton be next National Security Advisor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.3%+$16.2
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.59
Trump approval >45% on August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6
Harvard international students ban ended before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.12
US forces in Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.43
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$32
Will the percentage of inactive ballots in the NYC Democratic Mayoral Primary be 4% or less?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$5.5
Will the percentage of inactive ballots in the NYC Democratic Mayoral Primary be more than 4% and up to 8%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.13
Trump ends taxes on tips in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.93
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.54
Supreme Court unblocks Alien Enemies Act?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.78
Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.91
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.54
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Israel before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Argentina before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will Jay-Z be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+33.6%+$14.66
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+29.4%+$6.43
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+754.7%+$81.27
Will Al Gore be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+40.9%+$8.7
Showing 25 of 303 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2025, EDT17012.9%22 W · 148 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 170 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.81
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+544.4%+$89.1
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.76
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+452.3%+$369.68
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$190.34
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Elon tweet 245–259 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Elon tweet 230 or more times May 30–June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Elon tweet 215–229 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.75
Will Elon tweet 200–214 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.13
Will Elon tweet 185–199 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 23–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.22
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 23–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.67
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 23–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+258.5%+$216.47
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 23–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.59
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+687.2%+$484.56
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.81
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.26
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.5
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.19
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$167.03
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.4
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.73
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+432.5%+$219.91
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.75
Showing 25 of 170 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST13118.3%24 W · 107 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 131 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Lazarus Chakwera win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/NPS/ABOP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.1
Yoon in jail before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.3
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.36
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+607.7%+$876.06
Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.91
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+233.4%+$518.38
Will Dan win all the Bucharest sectors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10
Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.27
Will Ilie Bolojan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.12
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.13
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+321.5%+$96.17
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.76
Will Lakas win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$8.6
Han Duck-soo presidential unity ticket with PPP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+478%+$82.7
Showing 25 of 131 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST8515.3%13 W · 72 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+217.5%+$137
Houthi strike on Israel before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.08
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.93
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.31
Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.82
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$261
Will Khamenei leave Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.36
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.53
US x Iran ceasefire before July? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.15
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.92
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.05
Israel strike on Iran on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.01
Israel strike on Iran on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$165.86
Israel strike on Iran on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.91
Israel strike on Iran on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.5
Israel strike on Iran on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.09
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+58.9%+$24.52
Israel strike on Iran on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.3
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+380.4%+$239.96
Iran strike on Israel in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.43
Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.24
Another Houthi strike on Israel in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.07
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT8023.8%19 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$8.2
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$7.57
Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $47–51M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.24
Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $55M?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+267.5%+$109.97
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be $37m or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.18
Will "The Phoenician Scheme" Opening Weekend Box Office be $7m or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.29
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will 'Fight or Flight' gross between $1.2-1.5m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+30.6%+$3.2
Will 'Minecraft' gross between 110m and 120m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.18
Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 120m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will 'Snow White' gross between 39-44m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will 'Snow White' gross between 34-39m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+64.3%+$27.4
Will 'Snow White' gross less than 34m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will 'Mickey 17' gross between 16-20m on its opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will 'The Monkey' gross between 9-12m on its opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$17.6
Will 'The Monkey' gross more than 15m on its opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$39.96
Will 'The Monkey' gross between 12-15m on its opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Demi Moore win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "The Substance"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+33.3%+$3.61
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $82-91m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+57.4%+$33.61
Will "Companion" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $8-11m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.24
Will 'A Real Pain' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.42
Will 'Nickel Boys' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+55.3%+$29.05
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2025, EDT7718.2%14 W · 63 L-11.0wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NFL — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Rodgers retire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.25
Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Pittsburgh Steelers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.21
Will the Giants draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+25%+$3
Will the Raiders draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.26
Will Jalen Milroe be the third QB taken in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.88
Will Shedeur Sanders be the third QB taken in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.92
Will Jaxson Dart be the third QB taken in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.74
Will another team draft Jaxson Dartbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Jaxson Dart get drafted by the Giants?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will the Browns draft a QB in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+696.5%+$78.7
Will Jalen Milroe be drafted in the First Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.91
Will the Browns draft Shedeur Sanders?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.86
Will the Browns draft Cameron Ward?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.04
Will the Browns draft Travis Hunter?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.78
Will the Giants draft Shedeur Sanders?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.72
Will the Giants draft Travis Hunter?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.62
Will Travis Hunter be the second pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will the Jaguars draft Kelvin Banks Jr.?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.41
Will the Giants make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.41
Will the Patriots make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+139.6%+$71.03
Will Travis Hunter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.98
Will the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft get traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.6
Who will get drafted first: Shedeur Sanders or Cam Ward?backed Sanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will the Vikings resign Sam Darnold?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+161.8%+$39.64
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2025, EDT5735.1%20 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.13-1.17ºC in April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.87
Will the highest temperature in London be 55°F or below on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$49.2
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.15
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.48
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.03
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 53-54°F on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 62-63°F on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+30.5%+$5.34
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 60-61°F on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 34-35°F on March 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Will the highest temperature in London be between 49-50°F on March 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 32-33°F on March 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will the highest temperature in London be between 49-50°F on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+39.9%+$11.4
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 57-58°F on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on February 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$19.4
Will the highest temperature in London be between 49-50°F on February 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 43-44°F on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16.4
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 41-42°F on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.4
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+84.1%+$15.36
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT4316.3%7 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $5-10b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will Pump.fun launch a token by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $3-5b one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+45.6%+$9
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $1-3b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.63
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+465.2%+$390.08
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.85
PartyDAO airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.33
Rainbow airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.94
Aleo airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.37
Farcaster airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.74
Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.5
Astaria airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.07
Avail airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.4
Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.89
Dogecoin above $0.17 on March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Will Kanye launch a coin by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$33.16
Will ALEX WICE win the PvP trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.03
Will Dave Portnoy launch a coin before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+181.7%+$38.71
Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$85.59
Will USD0++ stabilize again before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.43
Will Coinbase list $TRUMP in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$115.28
Dogecoin above $0.31 on January 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$52.86
$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$160.33
$POPCAT listed on Binance or Coinbase in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$69.28
Will $POPCAT be listed first on Binance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$23.3
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2025, EDT4214.3%6 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-62.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 10% and 11% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.01
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Will reconciliation bill be passed by August 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.2
Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+257.1%+$36
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$35.78
Will 52 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$47.86
Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$49.35
Will 53 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$39.89
Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16.38
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+157.7%+$19.37
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$60.1
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$88.5
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$66.7
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$59.56
Will 52 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$23.48
Will 51 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$147.58
Will 53 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$83.83
Will 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$22.34
Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$19.62
Will 50 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$67.45
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$79.08
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$44.81
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$31.6
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$72.09
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3920.5%8 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.37
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$35.4
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18.2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+188.5%+$39.2
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.88
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.32
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.52
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.61
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.13
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $370b on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.41
OpenAI social app before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.86
Google forced to sell Chrome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.5
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+495.8%+$205.29
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.69
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $340b on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$20.4
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.11
Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.21
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.7
Will Musk say "Tariff" 5+ times during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.46
Will Musk say "DOGE" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+263.6%+$29
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT3119.4%6 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$29.2
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Trump x Putin talk before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.21
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$421.42
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.33
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+699.9%+$747.38
Nothing Ever Happens backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.43
Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+214.9%+$256.08
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+168.4%+$116.95
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.86
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.67
Will Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.26
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.08
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$275.18
Will Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.84
Trump announces cutting all military aid to Ukraine aid before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11.44
Trump cuts Ukraine aid before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$32.5
Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.83
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19.4
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.89
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+461.8%+$81.53
Team from Midwest wins March Madness?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Team from West wins March Madness?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.65
Will South Carolina win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+36.4%+$8
Team from East wins March Madness?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.4
Purdue vs. Houstonbacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.48
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Kentucky vs. Tennesseebacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.3
Arkansas vs. Texas Techbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+501.5%+$87
Arizona vs. Dukebacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Maryland vs. Floridabacked Maryland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
BYU vs. Alabamabacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.6
BYU vs. Wisconsinbacked Wisconsin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Liberty vs. Oregonbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Troy vs. Kentuckybacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Baylor vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Yale vs. Texas A&Mbacked Yale · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
High Point vs. Purduebacked High Point · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-78.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.1
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.32
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$10.8
10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.5
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.87
Will Powell say "price" 15 or more times during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$31.8
Will Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$28.2
Will Powell say "growth" 8 or more times during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+156.4%+$24.4
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$22.34
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$54.66
Will Powell say "immigrant" or "immigration" during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25.6
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$33
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$48
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$14.66
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$34
All 18 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick25cpaid-88.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
College Football — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Ohio State vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$87.78
Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$23.27
Ohio State vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will Penn State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30.63
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Ohio State vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Texas vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$28.99
Tennessee vs. Ohio Statebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$38.12
Clemson vs. Texasbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$38.5
SMU vs. Penn Statebacked SMU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$49.8
Indiana vs. Notre Damebacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$41.93
Will Iowa State make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$22.8
Will SMU make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Alabama make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+84.3%+$27.45
Michigan vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$27.16
All 16 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.7
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Will Trump attend SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$47.58
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy survive re-entry?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$17.52
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$38.58
SpaceX 7th Starship Super Heavy blows up?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$64.99
SpaceX 7th Starship upper stage successful splash down?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+253.3%+$62.13
Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$122.35
SpaceX 7th Starship booster survives re-entry?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$21.22
SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$46.97
SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+232.7%+$241.83
SpaceX Starship launch by Nov 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+307.1%+$66.91
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2025, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+88.6%+$50.04
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.88
Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+190.4%+$553.22
Will Mark Few make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Micky Arison make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+325.5%+$61.2
Will Andre Jackson Jr. win the 2025 NBA Slam Dunk Contest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Will Lonzo Ball stay with the Chicago Bulls?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+173.7%+$41.24
Will Lonzo Ball get traded to the Brooklyn Nets?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.98
Will the Wizards win again this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$27.6
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2024 NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$44.98
Bucks vs. Celticsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$22.84
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$21.56
All 12 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.2
Will Georgia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Ye divorce before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.98
Will Jay-Z settle with his accuser before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.16
Will Playboi Carti release “I AM MUSIC” by June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.36
Will 'Not Like Us' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+683.8%+$214.21
Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$33.65
Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$81.36
Will Beyonce be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$15.5
New Diddy charges before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+56.3%+$16.19
Diddy sex tape released before November? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.1
KSI's "Thick Of It" debuts on Billboard hot 100?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$59.17
All 12 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Xi talk before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 75% and 100% on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.18
TikTok sale announced before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.71
DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$560.46
TikTok banned in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$312.2
TikTok removed from App Store in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$13.96
TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$268.97
New Jersey mystery drones from foreign country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22.09
All 9 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-43.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$37.25
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$89.57
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2024 World Rapid Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Magnus Carlsen win the World Rapid Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+163.2%+$31
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$477.09
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 9 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$13.06
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2024 US Chess Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$40.19
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2024 WR Chess Masters Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+91.7%+$19.1
All 8 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2024, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+63.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+156.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2024, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+410.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62
$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$279.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USA wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+86.9%+$9.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LA Galaxy win the MLS Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Frank Lampard join Coventry?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.