Token Launches · resolved market
Dogecoin above $0.31 on January 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37d6fdb304d3b1ba850a0618afa7ee344ef2fd62672fdfcc7b61782e7e66a3a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d79…4725backed No | 30c | 9,382$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49c…8150backed No | 30c | 6,305$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 20c | 6,213$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.63 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 28c | 5,836$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…c90abacked Yes | 66c | 5,779$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.64 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 3c | 5,077$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.94 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 4c | 5,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.09 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb628…95c0backed No | 0c | 4,011$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 1c | 3,876$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 41c | 2,600$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.87 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Yes | 58c | 2,584$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked No | 39c | 2,539$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…9100backed No | 48c | 2,273$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…6941backed Yes | 62c | 2,236$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…ce22backed No | 40c | 2,100$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…3934backed Yes | 60c | 2,026$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…9459backed No | 41c | 2,007$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0715…b17bbacked No | 5c | 1,984$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 28c | 1,832$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.2 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…759fbacked No | 39c | 1,703$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb828…27a9backed Yes | 61c | 1,650$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…8183backed No | 43c | 1,309$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed No | 50c | 1,222$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9156…4ad4backed Yes | 68c | 1,081$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 62c | 1,059$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.71 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6e…632fbacked Yes | 59c | 1,023$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked Yes | 58c | 990.48$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked No | 8c | 963.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a60…d019backed No | 28c | 929.22$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 25c | 906.52$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.88 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…f96fbacked No | 30c | 901.09$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa6…de7abacked No | 52c | 858.49$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x436a…f32abacked Yes | 62c | 808.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Yes | 61c | 737.28$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed No | 34c | 689$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked No | 15c | 675.56$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b47…d45bbacked Yes | 70c | 636.07$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…cf47backed Yes | 63c | 634.69$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…5f70backed Yes | 61c | 633$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…76f6backed Yes | 53c | 618.21$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…8814backed Yes | 67c | 592.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb443…fabbbacked Yes | 57c | 581.98$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…a625backed No | 39c | 549.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…5e71backed Yes | 63c | 515.25$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5909…71cebacked Yes | 63c | 495$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed No | 37c | 486.64$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 60c | 442.54$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.02 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…3a08backed Yes | 64c | 400$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 31c | 364.82$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…52bcbacked Yes | 60c | 358.6$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 10c | 354.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…91a3backed No | 45c | 313.19$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…e78bbacked Yes | 71c | 312.06$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked Yes | 55c | 310.73$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.54 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…7a42backed No | 41c | 306$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…9f7ebacked No | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1d63backed Yes | 59c | 299.4$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…97a5backed Yes | 61c | 291.16$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Yes | 64c | 279.08$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8053…810cbacked No | 28c | 268.32$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…e3f4backed Yes | 74c | 267.71$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes | 56c | 251.68$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…03c8backed No | 41c | 230$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…5788backed Yes | 59c | 220.25$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 66c | 220$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa273…9579backed Yes | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c23…088abacked No | 39c | 218.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b4…9764backed No | 48c | 209.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe845…a28ebacked Yes | 48c | 208.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…8eacbacked No | 49c | 202.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5586…4fc0backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…b460backed Yes | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 61c | 189.34$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 43c | 184.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x179c…8f9dbacked Yes | 53c | 181$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cba…70d9backed No | 47c | 181$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…326abacked No | 47c | 181$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a6…e05bbacked Yes | 53c | 181$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6218…36e8backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a2…29d8backed No | 47c | 176$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733a…1f90backed Yes | 53c | 176$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7955…8298backed Yes | 53c | 175$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8039…20b1backed No | 47c | 175$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…c94ebacked Yes | 53c | 174$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…be8abacked No | 47c | 174$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8742…3a73backed Yes | 52c | 173$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb426…ff49backed No | 48c | 173$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…f386backed No | 47c | 172$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…3a2cbacked Yes | 53c | 172$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…0da3backed No | 47c | 171$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da4…440dbacked Yes | 53c | 171$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc47d…d09bbacked Yes | 53c | 171$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b3…f5c1backed No | 47c | 171$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3961…8101backed No | 47c | 170$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…fef0backed Yes | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.