TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x082b…5e67

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
450
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT28256.7%160 W · 122 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 282 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+167.3%+$46.85
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+211%+$29.41
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.74
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.22
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.39
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+25%+$5.21
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+88.7%+$87.13
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37%+$26.56
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.3%+$14.89
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.3%+$11.18
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+38.2%+$24.03
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.09
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$27.36
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+142.3%+$60.45
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$19.14
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+35.1%+$6.14
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+122.2%+$15.83
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+42.9%+$15.53
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$581.21
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+38.9%+$15.77
Showing 25 of 282 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST4261.9%26 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+48.2%+$10.35
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$63.23
Will Wolves win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+29.9%+$9.77
Will Everton win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+34.9%+$63.89
Will Arsenal vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$17.18
Will Crystal Palace vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.35
Will Bournemouth vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.24
Will Wolves vs. Leicester end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$3.04
Will Southampton vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+25%+$3.18
Will Brighton vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$3.38
Will Chelsea vs. Everton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+25.4%+$12.6
Will Manchester City vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+33%+$21.83
Will Tottenham vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+37%+$3.89
Will West Ham vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$301.16
Will Everton vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+47.3%+$5.92
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$14.49
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$8.4
Will West Ham vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$11.67
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+28.2%+$10.15
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+98.4%+$34.04
Will Aston Villa vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$70.22
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will Wolves win on 2025-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.59
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$51.7
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+42.9%+$125.87
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+78.6%+$129.36
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$31.17
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Will PSG beat Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Will Chelsea beat Palmeiras in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$39.82
Will Palmeiras vs. Chelsea end in a draw after regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
FIFA Club World Cup: Dortmund vs. Monterrey (To Advance) backed Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$55.06
FIFA Club World Cup: Benfica vs. Chelsea (To Advance)backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$19.92
Will River Plate beat Monterrey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.26
Will Fluminense beat Ulsan Hyundai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$13.91
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Inter end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+39.5%+$8.42
Will Inter vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.99
Will Barcelona vs. Inter end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$235.34
Will Arsenal vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+37%+$48.08
Will Real Madrid vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$36.15
Will Aston Villa vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+30.3%+$7.05
Will Liverpool beat Girona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+37%+$7.52
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$12.49
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$10.64
Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+100%+$13
Predators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Rangers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Flyers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$3.65
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$6.26
Sweden vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$236.3
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$63.99
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Devils vs. Sharksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$254.87
Bruins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+69.7%+$20.9
Jets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$55.13
All 15 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Kansasbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+34.4%+$5.55
Iowa vs. USCbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$13.32
Ohio State vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Texas vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$243.42
Louisville vs. Washingtonbacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+69.5%+$20.86
East Carolina vs. NC Statebacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+74%+$74
Miami (OH) vs. Colorado Statebacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$300
Iowa State vs. Miamibacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+118%+$141.57
Boston College vs. Nebraskabacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$140
UConn vs. North Carolinabacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+46%+$368.15
Texas A&M vs. USCbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Georgia Tech vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+78.8%+$165.54
Oklahoma vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+265.5%+$1,907.68
Rutgers vs. Kansas Statebacked Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+41.5%+$7.47
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$238.14
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+82.9%+$29.01
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$13.43
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.74
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.84
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Francisco Comesanabacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,028Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+29.2%+$299.81
Rolex Paris Masters: Tallon Griekspoor vs Gabriel Diallobacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.95
Wimbledon: Tauson vs. Rybakina (W) backed Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Wimbledon: Borges vs. Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+87.2%+$13.08
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Diallo backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$61.6
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Perricardbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+37.7%+$29.9
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 55-56°F on October 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65–66°F on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.95
Will the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+39.6%+$5.95
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 61-62°F on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.12
Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.32
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 50-51°F on March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$120.79
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$138.46
2025 January hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+38.3%+$4.21
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.36
Athletics vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+28.1%+$3.09
Twins vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+33.7%+$15.89
Nationals vs. Brewersbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.95
Rays vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+38.3%+$31
Mets vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 6 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-57%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+28.9%+$4.91
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.42
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+82.8%+$13.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Cremonese vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$3.9
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dogecoin above $0.31 on January 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+55%+$99.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$23.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$24.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.