TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Iowa State vs. Miami

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Iowa Stateof Iowa State, Miami
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$354,619
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$381,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,619 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1638…339bbacked Iowa State33c61,352$20,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,137.771163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+99%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e80…59e8backed Miami67c59,603$39,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,919.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Iowa State51c17,764$8,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,776.55657.1%32 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Miami29c9,025$2,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,584.2330949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Iowa State50c8,601$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,300.5919043.2%82 W · 108 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Miami35c8,264$2,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,905.5323145.5%105 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc109…1ad2backed Miami65c8,134$5,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,312.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Miami63c7,173$4,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,514.343342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Miami67c6,926$4,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,606.64257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd6e…b233backed Iowa State34c6,168$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,082.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+56.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb511…01dabacked Miami72c6,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick67cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Miami60c5,691$3,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,388.82166.3%1 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.32per pick38cpaid-87.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Iowa State54c5,623$3,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,586.391942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Iowa State42c5,556$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,203.795520%11 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Iowa State38c5,300$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,300.34862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Iowa State38c5,041$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,113.5720341.9%85 W · 118 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Miami66c5,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3007335.6%26 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed Miami75c4,463$3,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,347.17560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Miami68c3,896$2,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.53764.9%24 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Iowa State29c3,412$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,414.377414.9%11 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa672…095fbacked Miami70c3,106$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,165.09933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Iowa State43c3,025$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.4915751%80 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed Miami58c2,918$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.411323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-67.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x964b…167abacked Miami68c2,408$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.911361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2f…aaf8backed Miami65c2,051$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.6930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b26…8640backed Miami68c2,042$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.9450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c80…a608backed Iowa State32c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3603122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf78…c8c4backed Iowa State33c2,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick36cpaid+284.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7691…dfc0backed Iowa State51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.781855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b23…8278backed Iowa State49c1,929$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.472339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x487b…eccbbacked Miami63c1,921$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.24560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Iowa State35c1,743$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.711942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Miami72c1,566$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Iowa State33c1,550$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.419843.9%43 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Miami54c1,518$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.491233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Iowa State29c1,371$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+107.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Miami42c1,208$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.1611855.9%66 W · 52 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Iowa State53c1,000$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.666100%6 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Miami65c999.93$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.9639847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e97…b339backed Iowa State76c935.11$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5f…19bcbacked Iowa State35c932.96$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+77.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ad0…fcdbbacked Miami68c903.56$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Miami60c825.52$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.9786243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed Miami66c757.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Iowa State24c741.91$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.4915252.6%80 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a4b…4a75backed Iowa State35c728.57$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Miami75c664.97$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Miami63c600$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3788347%39 W · 44 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Miami59c598.96$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.42748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Miami63c567.53$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.554839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Miami71c563.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003941%16 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Iowa State31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3451729.4%5 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Iowa State33c479.95$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.532147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf61b…f73ebacked Iowa State48c433.66$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.291353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Iowa State45c396.3$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.912850%14 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x822f…ca5fbacked Iowa State56c393.96$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.16580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+49.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52f5…19dabacked Miami68c368.72$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Iowa State27c357.1$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.685543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Miami64c355.38$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.2918858%109 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2376…30f5backed Miami39c354.05$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.175745.6%26 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…a30cbacked Miami44c349.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.22454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Iowa State36c330.97$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.8217361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Iowa State37c315.48$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.044445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Iowa State49c308.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.161844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Miami68c300$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.166354%34 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Iowa State31c266.35$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.22326.1%6 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick21cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed Iowa State46c261.57$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.571457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Iowa State35c251.65$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.854146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Miami64c250$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0911839%46 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Miami47c222.88$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.612816.4%21 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3653…1790backed Iowa State49c204$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Iowa State35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1302638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Iowa State34c199.88$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.922744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5199…382bbacked Miami60c193.74$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.84235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Miami9c190.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.372370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2088…9c55backed Iowa State56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571580%12 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea27…8a0bbacked Iowa State76c175.51$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Iowa State34c174.68$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.291850%9 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+84%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3fe4…f348backed Miami54c172.09$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid+78.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed Iowa State36c166.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.671233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ee…8836backed Iowa State76c159.47$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Iowa State38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.883250%16 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+51.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc891…c75ebacked Iowa State34c147.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Iowa State35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.86862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Miami64c141.52$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.121154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Miami55c139.17$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.032832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4ae…36ddbacked Iowa State36c125$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed Miami55c120.38$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.945930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b2…5975backed Iowa State36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Iowa State37c109.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.181353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+77.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x79a2…10ecbacked Iowa State55c108.93$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.932050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x145b…7ca4backed Iowa State23c108.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Iowa State50c104.31$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.27450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Iowa State50c103.81$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.486170.5%43 W · 18 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ca8…1698backed Iowa State42c103.57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.07560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e62…4d07backed Miami64c103.13$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd3…06a8backed Iowa State37c102.97$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00b…9c89backed Miami65c102.9$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd13…a813backed Iowa State35c101.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.345038%19 W · 31 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Iowa State37c101.21$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.123461.8%21 W · 13 L+6.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.