TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2088…9c55

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
187
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2025, EDT6167.2%41 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$59
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$16
Mavericks vs. Hornetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+63.9%+$39
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+63.9%+$41.56
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+53.8%+$64.62
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+29.9%+$29.87
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+56.3%+$33.75
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+49.3%+$33
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$100
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$140
Suns vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+49.3%+$98.51
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+47.8%+$19.12
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$85.37
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Grizzlies vs. Hawksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+43.5%+$52.18
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST5275%39 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lions vs. 49ersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+51.5%+$72.12
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Raiders vs. Saintsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Titans vs. Jaguarsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Colts vs. Giantsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Broncos vs. Bengalsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$120
Ravens vs. Texansbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+37%+$54
Buccaneers vs. Cowboysbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$27
49ers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Cardinals vs. Panthersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$70
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$168
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+31.6%+$48
Titans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+53.8%+$70
Rams vs. Jetsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+66.7%+$40
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2025, EST3865.8%25 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Sharksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$79
Predators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Canadiens vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+85.2%+$140.56
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+37%+$36.99
Rangers vs. Starsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Blues vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+33.3%+$40
Devils vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Panthers vs. Wildbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+37%+$36.99
Maple Leafs vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$75
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+45%+$45.04
Senators vs. Krakenbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+32.9%+$32.92
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Devils vs. Bluesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+39%+$38.98
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST-100%-$57
Capitals vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+63.9%+$39
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+35.1%+$5.62
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+29.9%+$23
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+56.3%+$36
Predators vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+51.5%+$34
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+42.9%+$30
Sabres vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+49.3%+$33.49
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2025, EST1580%12 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buffalo State vs. Libertybacked Buffalo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
Penn State vs. Boise Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21.27
East Carolina vs. NC Statebacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+35.1%+$28.6
Iowa State vs. Miamibacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Rutgers vs. Kansas Statebacked Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+38.9%+$28
Pittsburgh vs. Toledobacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$72
South Florida vs. San José Statebacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Northern Illinois vs. Fresno Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$100
SMU vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+33.3%+$41.67
Indiana vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+42.3%+$42.25
California vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+58.7%+$37
Western Kentucky vs. James Madisonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+32.8%+$65.63
Memphis vs. West Virginiabacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+49.3%+$49.25
South Alabama vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Western Kentucky vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+53.8%+$56.54
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2025, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Red Sox vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Orioles vs. Raysbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
White Sox vs. Rangersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Angels vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+53.7%+$166.35
Angels vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19
Rockies vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Tigers vs. Oriolesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+247.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+247.5%+$149.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.