NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44787e9ca04ed4c056268d9bffa6fd527e0a3630c523b6a2f21d4c4478a541e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $301,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $313,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 490 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Magic | 39c | 30,098$11,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,762.65 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Bucks | 67c | 16,119$10,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,336.71 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked Magic | 22c | 12,082$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.42 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Magic | 34c | 5,522$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.55 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 32c | 5,004$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.42 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Bucks | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Bucks | 69c | 4,095$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Bucks | 69c | 4,040$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.34 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb8…e817backed Magic | 30c | 3,945$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bucks | 70c | 3,900$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.15 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Magic | 30c | 3,700$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.86 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Bucks | 60c | 3,286$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.42 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be7…88a1backed Bucks | 71c | 2,983$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Bucks | 70c | 2,972$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.6 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Magic | 31c | 2,908$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.74 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Bucks | 52c | 2,545$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.46 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Magic | 37c | 2,322$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.87 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Magic | 39c | 2,249$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.33 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 5c | 2,054$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic | 33c | 2,000$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.36 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Bucks | 62c | 1,767$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.65 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 71c | 1,585$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.56 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Magic | 35c | 1,559$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.74 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Bucks | 60c | 1,469$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.48 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Magic | 42c | 1,429$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.18 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Magic | 31c | 1,380$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.75 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks | 67c | 1,332$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.81 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Magic | 38c | 1,320$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.59 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 40c | 1,264$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.24 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Magic | 33c | 1,250$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.46 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Bucks | 70c | 1,206$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.8 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Magic | 35c | 1,200$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…cc3abacked Magic | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Magic | 13c | 1,155$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.04 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Bucks | 78c | 1,068$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.49 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic | 34c | 1,044$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.87 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Bucks | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.41 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Magic | 31c | 1,010$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.19 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bucks | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Magic | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Magic | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Magic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Magic | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…ffaabacked Magic | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…6261backed Bucks | 70c | 999.98$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…8bb6backed Bucks | 70c | 998.48$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Bucks | 60c | 993.55$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.42 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Magic | 32c | 985.93$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.5 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Magic | 32c | 971.9$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.01 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Magic | 17c | 850.31$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.42 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Bucks | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 16c | 803.35$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.54 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Magic | 37c | 782.3$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.85 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Bucks | 69c | 727.08$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.39 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…3750backed Bucks | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x390f…9ef2backed Magic | 46c | 700$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Magic | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Magic | 30c | 686$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Magic | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Bucks | 63c | 638.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.06 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Magic | 32c | 617.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Bucks | 65c | 573.86$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.76 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547d…c6e8backed Magic | 24c | 538.72$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Bucks | 67c | 529.85$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.85 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucks | 61c | 504.74$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.85 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Magic | 32c | 500$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Magic | 35c | 500$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…2c8dbacked Bucks | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Magic | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Bucks | 69c | 460.36$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.15 | 145 | 62.8%91 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Bucks | 66c | 452.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.48 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Bucks | 65c | 447.53$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.95 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Bucks | 70c | 429$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Magic | 15c | 409.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Bucks | 65c | 404.88$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.48 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c3…61ebbacked Bucks | 64c | 403.03$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.03 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd584…aa62backed Bucks | 59c | 402.7$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…7305backed Magic | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Magic | 30c | 399.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea5c…5b0fbacked Magic | 36c | 388.89$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…efd1backed Magic | 32c | 343.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Bucks | 59c | 340$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Bucks | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Magic | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Magic | 24c | 318.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Bucks | 62c | 313.59$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.59 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Bucks | 48c | 312$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Magic | 19c | 301.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Bucks | 63c | 300$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f33…4059backed Bucks | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bucks | 66c | 292.09$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Bucks | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Magic | 18c | 280.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Bucks | 64c | 280$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Magic | 36c | 274.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 39c | 270.93$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…aba8backed Bucks | 67c | 253.16$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.13 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Bucks | 65c | 250.77$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.