TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb2c7…1b5b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
664
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT29148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 291 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+25%+$200
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$215
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.58
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$294.97
Wizards vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+28.2%+$110
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+29.9%+$115
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$129.99
Bucks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+64.8%+$589.98
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+97.4%+$493.33
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+67.6%+$403.33
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+73.9%+$86.55
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$500.26
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$330
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$409.98
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$280.03
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$391.69
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$133.32
Clippers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+104.1%+$255
Wizards vs. Clippersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+185.7%+$390
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$174
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$390
Showing 25 of 291 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT17945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 179 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.2
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+94.7%+$416.08
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$279.99
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+25%+$87.65
Will Southampton vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$10
Will Everton win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Chelsea wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$217.8
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Will Wolves win on 2025-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+56.2%+$64.02
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+40.8%+$144.99
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$315
Will Brighton win on 2025-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$184.98
Will Southampton win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$72.8
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+48.1%+$148.42
Will Everton win on 2025-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+61.3%+$190
Will Everton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+526.4%+$4,926.95
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,471Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$2,470.91
Will Everton win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$857Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$856.96
Will Brighton win on 2025-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+108.3%+$104.81
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16.41
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+257.1%+$201.42
Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$28.82
Will Brentford win on 2025-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Southampton win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$340
Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$177.79
Showing 25 of 179 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST10738.3%41 W · 66 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+150%+$360
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+72.4%+$420
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+111.5%+$761.96
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$346.63
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$751.68
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$105.12
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$780
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$209.24
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+56.5%+$301.2
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$940
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+426.3%+$809.98
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+146.9%+$603.09
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+99%+$760.26
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$188.51
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$133
Browns vs. Ravensbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Lions vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$1,367.95
Falcons vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+55.8%+$341.37
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$493.33
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+47.7%+$83.81
Raiders vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$473.31
Titans vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+102.7%+$506.69
Jets vs. Billsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$336.61
Colts vs. Giantsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$385.01
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$209.99
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2025, EST4452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+185.7%+$324.74
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$122.15
Sweden vs. USAbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+194.1%+$330
Flyers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+69.5%+$245.99
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+132.6%+$265.09
Sharks vs. Bruinsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$264.01
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+122.2%+$107.92
Blue Jackets vs. Bluesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+156.4%+$28.05
Kraken vs. Sabresbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+127.3%+$335.87
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$80.37
Sharks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+42.1%+$64.46
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$103.16
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$67.92
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$47.92
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+171.1%+$531.72
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+143.9%+$295.03
Stars vs. Flyersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+66.7%+$399.99
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$243.15
Canucks vs. Capitalsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$161.8
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$184.79
Maple Leafs vs. Flyersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+81.8%+$97.87
Blue Jackets vs. Penguinsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+138.1%+$290
Panthers vs. Avalanchebacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$211.13
Canucks vs. Canadiensbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$398.09
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT224.5%1 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick13cpaid-93.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$389
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$268
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.5
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.01
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,679Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,679
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.8
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2025, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+42.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,880.11
South Carolina vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+316.7%+$759.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed rate cut by June meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid finish second in La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$240
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$109.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.