NFL · resolved market
Chiefs vs. Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77b3382851ae13cb9e5326ead7c237460a7be86b663bac0d06c4d543e9952531
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Chiefs, Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $558,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $529,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $558,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 442 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Chiefs | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Chiefs | 2c | 27,933$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.33 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Chiefs | 22c | 23,394$5,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,088.45 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Chiefs | 0c | 23,202$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…4422backed Chiefs | 21c | 20,365$4,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,372.91 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Broncos | 78c | 17,758$13,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.27 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…d727backed Chiefs | 22c | 12,860$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Chiefs | 20c | 10,090$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.43 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Chiefs | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Chiefs | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd0…f582backed Chiefs | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…f02abacked Chiefs | 12c | 8,744$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.71 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Chiefs | 18c | 8,038$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.77 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f67…cc48backed Chiefs | 8c | 7,500$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Chiefs | 20c | 7,200$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Chiefs | 31c | 6,071$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.96 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Chiefs | 1c | 6,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Broncos | 79c | 5,910$4,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.5 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Chiefs | 18c | 5,291$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.29 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…0638backed Chiefs | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…e83fbacked Chiefs | 17c | 4,969$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf718…2a76backed Chiefs | 1c | 4,010$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Chiefs | 18c | 3,865$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.71 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d61…75cfbacked Chiefs | 23c | 3,853$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.98 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Chiefs | 8c | 3,554$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Broncos | 70c | 3,538$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.16 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…1674backed Chiefs | 17c | 3,263$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Broncos | 69c | 3,195$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.54 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Chiefs | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Chiefs | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Chiefs | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aee…4b3fbacked Chiefs | 17c | 2,883$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Chiefs | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Chiefs | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…4e57backed Chiefs | 30c | 2,684$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Chiefs | 16c | 2,482$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…214cbacked Chiefs | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Chiefs | 2c | 2,289$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Chiefs | 21c | 2,246$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.3 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Broncos | 79c | 2,202$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.24 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Chiefs | 23c | 2,196$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Chiefs | 17c | 2,059$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a20…6b93backed Chiefs | 17c | 2,059$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Chiefs | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Chiefs | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.92 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Chiefs | 17c | 1,800$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa007…2bd4backed Chiefs | 19c | 1,789$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbae…9395backed Chiefs | 21c | 1,679$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…99c4backed Chiefs | 19c | 1,669$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.76 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…a5b6backed Chiefs | 20c | 1,538$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.93 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Chiefs | 2c | 1,500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…515fbacked Chiefs | 1c | 1,413$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Broncos | 80c | 1,291$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.57 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…c841backed Chiefs | 21c | 1,290$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa728…5a45backed Chiefs | 12c | 1,200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dd…5291backed Chiefs | 19c | 1,176$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…e4e8backed Chiefs | 22c | 1,130$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Chiefs | 13c | 1,130$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.86 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…c9bfbacked Chiefs | 15c | 1,127$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.85 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Chiefs | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed Chiefs | 4c | 1,100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…23c6backed Chiefs | 23c | 1,041$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…7507backed Chiefs | 18c | 1,038$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Chiefs | 16c | 1,019$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.15 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…27b0backed Chiefs | 6c | 1,001$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6208…edc0backed Chiefs | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Chiefs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…a82dbacked Chiefs | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Chiefs | 20c | 999.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.67 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Chiefs | 22c | 934.89$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.93 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed Chiefs | 30c | 916.33$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.9 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…f741backed Chiefs | 17c | 900$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…7374backed Chiefs | 22c | 890.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Chiefs | 13c | 859.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Broncos | 60c | 856.78$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.9 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Broncos | 71c | 813.97$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.68 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…e19fbacked Chiefs | 19c | 800$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Chiefs | 3c | 731.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c92…bdd8backed Chiefs | 14c | 714.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Chiefs | 21c | 714$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Broncos | 78c | 700$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.26 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Broncos | 54c | 692.08$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.19 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Broncos | 79c | 680.35$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.04 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…dc5cbacked Chiefs | 19c | 654.25$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79c…36c6backed Chiefs | 20c | 605.26$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Chiefs | 26c | 600$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Chiefs | 17c | 588.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…8a80backed Chiefs | 21c | 585.35$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Chiefs | 18c | 565.77$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Broncos | 79c | 560$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.73 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Chiefs | 30c | 550$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa895…4935backed Chiefs | 20c | 549.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Chiefs | 44c | 547.38$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Chiefs | 19c | 545.24$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Chiefs | 19c | 543.6$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Chiefs | 19c | 527$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd249…6a1dbacked Chiefs | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba7…dbd7backed Chiefs | 6c | 509.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Broncos | 79c | 508.98$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.06 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Chiefs | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.