TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93d0…0c2e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
180
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST13255.3%73 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 132 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$339.05
Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the Commanders win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16.21
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30.6
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$288
Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$147
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$448.08
Will the Vikings win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$111.2
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Commanders vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$345.6
Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+44.9%+$165.78
Broncos vs. Billsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100.7
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+49.3%+$147.76
Will Derrick Henry be the top Fantasy Flex Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$68.81
Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Flex Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+355.5%+$135.8
Will the Vikings win the NFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will the Lions win the NFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$328.66
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+69.5%+$205
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$112
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$33.73
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$81.84
Lions vs. 49ersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+75.9%+$227.68
Showing 25 of 132 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sergio Perez leave Red Bull?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+115.5%+$53.6
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$15.64
Will George Russell win the Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$155
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$74
Will Lando Norris win the Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$227.34
Will Max Verstappen win the Mexico City Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$105
Will Carlos Sainz win the Mexico City Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+56.2%+$90
Will Oscar Piastri win the United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$69
Will Max Verstappen win the United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$214.11
Will Oscar Piastri win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+300%+$289.43
Will Max Verstappen win the Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$46
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-69.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$188.07
Will Frances Tiafoe win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$69.52
US Open: Fritz vs. Tiafoebacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT+37%+$54
US Open: Sinner vs. Medvedevbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2024, EDT+37%+$33.75
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2024 ATP Cincinnati Men’s Singles tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$457.12
Will Nadal win a gold medal in Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$313.8
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon Men's?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$104.5
Will Daniil Medvedev win Wimbledon Men's?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Elena Rybakina win Wimbledon Women's?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$310.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2024, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2024, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+144.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+36.9%+$141.57
Will France win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$49.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.69
Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$106
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$42.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.