NFL · resolved market
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd596e54d8df41c361327ff52493b702b064d46ecdce61119faae6efb6bb665ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $865,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $821,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $865,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 50c | 180,103$89,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,500.98 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Yes | 38c | 41,084$15,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,783.2 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 48c | 31,536$15,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,398.82 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 46c | 19,281$8,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,913.74 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…53c8backed Yes | 52c | 19,233$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed No | 51c | 17,227$8,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,418.08 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 55c | 15,182$8,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,876.38 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 37c | 10,275$3,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.66 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Yes | 49c | 10,134$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 41cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…d382backed Yes | 50c | 10,027$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 49c | 9,945$4,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,873.16 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 33c | 9,915$3,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,241.63 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed Yes | 38c | 9,137$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510.33 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked No | 55c | 8,945$4,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,043.45 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 45c | 8,792$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,997.58 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed No | 53c | 8,578$4,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,009.67 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…1da6backed Yes | 48c | 7,708$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…4725backed No | 58c | 7,308$4,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042.66 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes | 31c | 6,387$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.94 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 58c | 6,311$3,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.47 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…d105backed Yes | 14c | 5,680$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.57 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed No | 51c | 5,627$2,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed No | 55c | 5,374$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.69 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835d…62dcbacked Yes | 47c | 4,844$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 41c | 4,837$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.3 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…5102backed Yes | 50c | 4,554$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Yes | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.99 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 47c | 3,886$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.18 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…dc07backed Yes | 39c | 3,857$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 57c | 3,654$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.64 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 40c | 3,640$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.83 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…e661backed No | 62c | 3,557$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.24 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 36c | 3,309$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.78 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdee…d1fcbacked Yes | 40c | 3,025$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked No | 54c | 3,000$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.98 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 16c | 2,253$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.01 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dd…e1b2backed Yes | 30c | 2,172$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 14c | 1,871$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.97 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 56c | 1,839$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.62 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 42c | 1,758$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.37 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,694$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.08 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…cdfcbacked Yes | 21c | 1,680$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…9475backed Yes | 44c | 1,654$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…7b9bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 48c | 1,332$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.64 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked No | 53c | 1,300$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.99 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…6817backed Yes | 31c | 1,200$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…e5ccbacked Yes | 16c | 1,168$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.29 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77d7…6547backed No | 52c | 1,146$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…a22abacked Yes | 50c | 1,066$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 29c | 999.9$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes | 39c | 949.68$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…fa88backed Yes | 33c | 906.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e89…247cbacked Yes | 65c | 896.2$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked Yes | 38c | 888.3$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.66 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd09c…670abacked Yes | 44c | 837.27$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed No | 54c | 808$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.68 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0274…307bbacked Yes | 33c | 804$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.34 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b01…5344backed Yes | 35c | 777.81$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…aee3backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 68c | 749.98$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.49 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…efaebacked Yes | 41c | 740.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 15c | 726.66$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdd…ddfebacked Yes | 38c | 662$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…d7c6backed Yes | 21c | 648.1$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Yes | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 57c | 620.25$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.83 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 35c | 611.13$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.01 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +9.9wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +235.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…fc4cbacked No | 57c | 602.68$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.76 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6704…baa4backed Yes | 42c | 595.08$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 14c | 580.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 54c | 564.62$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.72 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 40c | 562.62$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.05 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…21d8backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…caeebacked No | 60c | 510.72$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ec…6b20backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 64.6%62 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x346e…be97backed Yes | 38c | 484.97$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbae…9395backed Yes | 42c | 475.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 41c | 457.52$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.81 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…3076backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6938…e766backed Yes | 40c | 452.78$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Yes | 33c | 452.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 195 | 64.6%126 W · 69 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed No | 69c | 450.39$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.47 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d1…ddccbacked Yes | 45c | 435.56$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…c3d1backed Yes | 35c | 424.24$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…a741backed Yes | 47c | 417.9$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…38c6backed No | 64c | 410.75$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69d…1262backed Yes | 26c | 402.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ca…9069backed Yes | 25c | 400.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 66c | 362.21$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…2a31backed Yes | 32c | 360.69$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…c88cbacked Yes | 33c | 360.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…682ebacked Yes | 51c | 359.53$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb33c…7f1ebacked Yes | 48c | 356.46$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?this page
- Will the 49ers win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Cardinals win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Commanders win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Cowboys win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Giants win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Saints win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Seahawks win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Vikings win the NFC Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.