TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Seahawks win the NFC Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$534,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$831,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $534,225 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3bc1…6fe7backed Yes5c16,200$729 inLost-$729333%1 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-94.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7789…f823backed Yes3c14,400$490 inLost-$489.6238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-84.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes4c11,143$399 inLost-$398.7328433.1%94 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x176d…4a26backed Yes1c9,830$138 inLost-$137.63220%0 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes5c4,329$199 inLost-$198.561809.4%17 W · 163 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7851backed Yes1c3,899$20 inLost-$19.990%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes1c3,483$41 inLost-$40.8412022.5%27 W · 93 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked Yes2c3,400$67 inLost-$66.87939.2%31 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes1c3,000$36 inLost-$361061.9%2 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick1cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Yes4c2,601$98 inLost-$97.62749.5%7 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63bf…e319backed Yes3c2,533$76 inLost-$768729.9%26 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes1c2,353$27 inLost-$26.962430.8%2 W · 241 L+1.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd95…99f2backed Yes4c2,262$79 inLost-$79.4915722.3%35 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8398…047fbacked Yes6c1,500$95 inLost-$94.53622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes1c1,326$18 inLost-$18.1152828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc63f…8641backed Yes1c1,272$11 inLost-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9a…331fbacked Yes1c835.79$12 inLost-$11.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aae…14a3backed Yes1c822.62$11 inLost-$10.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b6…92f3backed Yes1c801.57$11 inLost-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Yes3c714.29$20 inLost-$2014750.3%74 W · 73 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52eb…757abacked Yes2c581.87$11 inLost-$10.691513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc913…8457backed Yes3c389.77$11 inLost-$10.9180%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8083…12adbacked Yes3c369.69$11 inLost-$11.0970%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.