NFL · resolved market
Will the Vikings win the NFC Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaaf437611455685071601176d7c6c40cf7cd96a922f6cc98b8cb269c03e58f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $900,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $943,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $900,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3655…efa4backed Yes | 19c | 61,500$11,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,685 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8412…fcdabacked Yes | 19c | 61,000$11,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,590 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…797abacked Yes | 14c | 57,000$7,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,980 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06d…daabbacked Yes | 8c | 54,500$4,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,469 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 11c | 24,197$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.32 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 10c | 15,293$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.64 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7591…9829backed Yes | 9c | 11,488$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.04 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69d…1262backed Yes | 7c | 10,071$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.73 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 15c | 9,948$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.39 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc1…6fe7backed Yes | 13c | 6,900$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 20c | 5,103$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 2c | 3,805$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Yes | 3c | 3,705$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.27 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc0…24adbacked Yes | 14c | 2,762$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 9c | 2,700$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.8 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 8c | 2,423$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.51 | 120 | 22.5%27 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 11c | 2,393$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.23 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 9c | 1,148$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.3 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…2a6dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,133$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…4725backed Yes | 9c | 1,063$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…6775backed Yes | 13c | 1,004$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…e52fbacked Yes | 23c | 867.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 9c | 858.28$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Yes | 14c | 800$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b01…5344backed Yes | 24c | 793.9$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 14c | 780.91$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.83 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49de…4dc5backed Yes | 12c | 682.66$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 6c | 645.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…37b3backed Yes | 8c | 629.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 19c | 515.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f33…5ff1backed Yes | 19c | 513.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 12c | 450.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…6e0bbacked Yes | 12c | 441.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 80c | 420.96$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc86…3ecdbacked Yes | 10c | 400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 80c | 399.07$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.46 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…ea31backed Yes | 10c | 386.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…a5b6backed Yes | 14c | 381.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x290c…9084backed Yes | 14c | 359.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 17c | 337.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Yes | 10c | 303.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 9c | 303.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 8c | 300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 11c | 299.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6704…baa4backed Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe064…cd51backed Yes | 11c | 250.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772e…a7eebacked Yes | 14c | 247.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0e…91c6backed Yes | 11c | 244.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377f…9e02backed Yes | 17c | 235$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…757abacked Yes | 10c | 226.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Yes | 22c | 222.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…82a7backed Yes | 8c | 213.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3994…e8adbacked Yes | 10c | 200.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…4c4fbacked Yes | 10c | 192.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 16c | 187.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e40…41aabacked Yes | 16c | 185.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe969…5101backed Yes | 12c | 150.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a0…acfabacked Yes | 38c | 144.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b3…0cd4backed Yes | 9c | 144$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f0…37adbacked Yes | 28c | 143.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…185abacked Yes | 8c | 137.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 11c | 132.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 16c | 130.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…c94dbacked Yes | 11c | 126.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…4ad3backed Yes | 20c | 126$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc8…16f6backed Yes | 13c | 111.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc728…7c84backed Yes | 11c | 103.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…d677backed Yes | 11c | 103.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebc…45a2backed Yes | 19c | 102.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Yes | 20c | 102.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9292…2cd1backed Yes | 16c | 101.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e89…5333backed Yes | 11c | 100.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…36ecbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…8322backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2af4…6416backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5801…1c21backed Yes | 11c | 98.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fd90backed Yes | 22c | 54.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…6134backed No | 80c | 47.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Vikings win the NFC Championship?this page
- Will the 49ers win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Cardinals win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Commanders win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Cowboys win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Giants win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Saints win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Seahawks win the NFC Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.