TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,692,602
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,455,679

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,692,602 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a95…0247backed Yes5c52,000$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,49610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd95…99f2backed Yes3c51,182$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.9215722.3%35 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes11c50,221$5,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,570.322711.1%3 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-76.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014926.2%39 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x176d…4a26backed Yes2c29,790$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.45220%0 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes11c8,094$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.213818.4%7 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d03…aee3backed Yes6c6,291$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005032%16 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8e…d105backed Yes6c6,000$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3582825%7 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1db1…35a9backed Yes5c5,889$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.285536.4%20 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes3c5,482$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.731809.4%17 W · 163 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f33…5ff1backed Yes7c5,464$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.481947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid0%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Yes4c5,000$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20524351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes3c4,908$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.89464.3%2 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes3c4,737$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4128433.1%94 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed Yes10c4,689$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.0128337.8%107 W · 176 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Yes10c4,526$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.647041.4%29 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes11c3,921$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.0319436.6%71 W · 123 L-14.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes2c3,059$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.777123.9%17 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes10c3,025$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.561014%4 W · 97 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-87.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71e5…50a4backed Yes11c3,000$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3331030%3 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…580fbacked Yes4c3,000$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12310434.6%36 W · 68 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d79…4725backed Yes10c2,873$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.562416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-63.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes4c2,788$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9722434.4%77 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa728…5a45backed Yes7c2,538$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.042030%6 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Yes2c2,501$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.03749.5%7 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes2c2,496$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5312022.5%27 W · 93 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes5c2,250$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0220440.7%83 W · 121 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes11c2,171$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.012520%5 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-61.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40442.3%1 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-93.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes8c2,000$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1113024.6%32 W · 98 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes20c1,956$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.0622142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes9c1,837$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.981508%12 W · 138 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x865c…ea31backed Yes6c1,788$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-87.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4948…0b44backed Yes6c1,640$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-58.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes6c1,533$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4516226.5%43 W · 119 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-30.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes5c1,512$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8424738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c3…4d61backed Yes20c1,398$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.572236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+11.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcd44…2a19backed Yes19c1,273$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2407455.4%41 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…757abacked Yes3c1,151$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.861513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8398…047fbacked Yes6c1,143$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.853622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes4c1,040$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.36913%9 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked Yes3c999.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347939.2%31 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…aa6ebacked Yes2c830.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.012326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes2c772.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81508%4 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-68.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6b…12e7backed Yes7c753.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f0e…91c6backed Yes5c637.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes5c611.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.42454.4%2 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-69.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb00…b0f1backed Yes8c596$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e1…f42dbacked Yes4c568.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020733.8%70 W · 137 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ef8…2f4ebacked Yes6c549$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ce…d06dbacked Yes6c444.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252030%6 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-43.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c7f…d2f3backed Yes8c418$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Yes4c402$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.299259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…5082backed Yes6c401$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4521…0637backed Yes6c386.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x726b…3e18backed Yes6c363$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Yes13c334.22$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.55014%7 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-71.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8f0…b6c1backed Yes6c333$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x876b…2ed6backed Yes6c323$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcff1…c913backed Yes6c306$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x132a…fc1fbacked Yes8c303.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55f4…959cbacked Yes14c300$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.510639.6%42 W · 64 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc80…2fdbbacked Yes16c295.03$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.446058.3%35 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f5…a061backed Yes8c288$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x541b…a840backed Yes11c283.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9354…0dfbbacked Yes5c280.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7494…6e0bbacked Yes5c274.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-59.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Yes11c264.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3515332%49 W · 104 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0bd…1827backed Yes6c261$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa6…7c3cbacked Yes12c258.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed Yes20c250.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504320.9%9 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid+55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56a8…e336backed Yes6c242$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd6b…2731backed Yes6c242$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes5c230$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9677052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x219b…2103backed Yes12c213.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b09…58d8backed Yes6c210$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ce…2943backed Yes6c205$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e10…b6c9backed Yes6c205$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa937…dbb1backed Yes15c201.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.30per pick38cpaid-84.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7bbc…cf97backed Yes11c200.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf186…5b68backed Yes12c200.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca87…647abacked Yes10c198.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e2…3223backed Yes7c193$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46e…5bc1backed Yes10c188.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0557…7090backed Yes6c186$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9cc…3984backed Yes6c183$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f4…c367backed Yes6c179$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf96…0590backed Yes6c179$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…21b2backed Yes7c179$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f0c…8aa7backed Yes7c179$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf31f…22b2backed Yes7c179$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb72f…a226backed Yes12c167.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc2fe…2ebabacked Yes6c167$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c8c…f84cbacked Yes7c167$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b10…a08cbacked Yes7c167$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x566f…514cbacked Yes6c167$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd19b…7304backed Yes6c166$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78c0…ad29backed Yes7c166$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8669…0373backed Yes6c166$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdac9…9154backed Yes7c166$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.