TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52eb…757a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: College Football, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 52 out of 100; worst Serie A at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick6cpaid+178%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.86
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+4,903.3%+$8,513.76
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.66
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$420.78
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$863.61
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.54
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,064.42
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$256.86
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,286.78
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,669Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,669.02
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,584.99
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.08
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.59
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.57
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.34
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.83
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2025, EST1513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16.4
Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+371.4%+$54.54
Will the Commanders win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$22.56
Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+334.1%+$104.76
Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.91
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$39.86
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15.8
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30.29
Will the Vikings win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$23.01
Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$22.64
Will the Steelers win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Will the Chargers win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25.91
Will the Bengals win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.48
Will the Seahawks win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$10.69
Will the 49ers win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$12.62
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+145.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$698.25
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+3,086.8%+$36,259.58
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$625.87
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$877Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$876.57
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$218.39
Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$252.87
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$229.78
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.26
Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.76
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$691.18
Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$297.87
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$748.55
All 13 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another team win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20.47
Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25.28
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+671.3%+$87.15
Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+30%+$6.08
Will Penn State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25.23
Will Georgia win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$32.26
Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16.65
Will Tennessee win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$18.86
Will Clemson win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$10.97
Will Miami (FL) win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Alabama win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$10.41
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.74
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.58
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.98
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.39
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.76
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.58
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.53
Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.08
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.