TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,429,202
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,411,047

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,429,202 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes1c2,783,704$20,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,052.11160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes1c1,230,648$8,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,065.81180%0 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c706,738$2,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,227.5190%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes0c666,141$3,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,317.062040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Yes1c634,891$4,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,444.241225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-56.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c496,404$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.85140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes0c442,515$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.552653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c439,987$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.949917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes1c406,709$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,484.77150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x549f…c945backed Yes1c364,519$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.631040%4 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick24cpaid-2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes1c310,490$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.32267.7%2 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-88.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf541…74f7backed Yes1c300,115$2,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.66150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c293,934$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.95234.3%1 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-83.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c284,543$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.88313.2%1 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-95.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd0e…66ddbacked Yes1c251,536$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda1f…bf45backed Yes1c249,297$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8030…ca9abacked Yes1c246,879$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e8…a673backed Yes1c245,267$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f4…3b06backed Yes1c242,264$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd68f…6f02backed Yes1c238,590$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad8a…07e2backed Yes1c237,051$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x414c…fb1dbacked Yes1c233,007$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe663…824fbacked Yes1c232,333$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f7f…7bf7backed Yes1c232,094$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27fc…8794backed Yes1c231,943$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb934…0388backed Yes1c230,363$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes1c225,962$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.818939.3%35 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c7…d36abacked Yes1c225,918$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf2e…7dd8backed Yes1c225,855$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7be…5ea6backed Yes1c225,433$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae38…ffd4backed Yes1c222,859$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e57…981bbacked Yes1c222,054$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7fc…9e4bbacked Yes1c220,579$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce02…a3b4backed Yes1c220,421$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c46…ba8cbacked Yes1c219,466$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8348…633bbacked Yes1c219,045$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,643.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf31a…c4f6backed Yes1c218,331$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0f…a19dbacked Yes1c217,189$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…5dadbacked Yes1c217,156$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a3…96c7backed Yes1c217,064$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9806…d6cebacked Yes1c215,921$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ce4…b52dbacked Yes1c215,893$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee26…78e0backed Yes1c215,678$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6103…56debacked Yes1c215,527$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4136…fef1backed Yes1c215,223$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c75…5182backed Yes1c214,894$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d5f…f35ebacked Yes1c213,621$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2023…2d55backed Yes1c213,593$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.92219.5%2 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa36a…6d73backed Yes1c213,214$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa851…3700backed Yes1c213,181$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19cc…70efbacked Yes1c212,140$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb068…9a97backed Yes1c211,954$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2176…8f2ebacked Yes1c211,900$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeefa…305abacked Yes1c211,870$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe51f…a1d3backed Yes1c211,709$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8708…fb74backed Yes1c211,611$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bf6…537ebacked Yes1c211,593$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e14…66b9backed Yes1c211,414$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f58…3bb2backed Yes1c211,390$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ac…50babacked Yes1c211,116$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c3…1040backed Yes1c210,864$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x959b…134cbacked Yes1c210,819$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f9b…dd67backed Yes1c210,663$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf13…0d33backed Yes1c210,536$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc90…2bc2backed Yes1c210,159$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x151b…a85dbacked Yes1c209,965$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25b9…1897backed Yes1c209,965$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a66…e4a5backed Yes1c209,361$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1054…9948backed Yes1c209,359$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9af8…0dc2backed Yes1c208,620$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda8…ff12backed Yes1c208,229$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c3…b4aabacked Yes1c208,036$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b0d…bb7cbacked Yes1c206,894$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9759…d09cbacked Yes1c205,857$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b73…b46bbacked Yes1c205,726$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3634…cac2backed Yes1c205,341$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4613…a2cdbacked Yes1c205,181$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeabd…8439backed Yes1c205,098$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f7…7b1bbacked Yes1c204,903$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c28…0e83backed Yes1c204,613$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23e4…8800backed Yes1c203,924$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x163c…75e1backed Yes1c203,869$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2180…f5a7backed Yes1c203,775$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10e0…aac7backed Yes1c203,709$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf206…7b1cbacked Yes1c203,631$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00df…cb54backed Yes1c203,530$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4b4…61abbacked Yes1c203,046$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8496…5668backed Yes1c202,973$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3b8…a0a8backed Yes1c202,568$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e8…e934backed Yes1c202,220$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a5f…38a4backed Yes1c201,550$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe322…d73bbacked Yes1c200,106$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc374…f445backed Yes1c200,090$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5500…8cf0backed Yes1c198,869$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c5…314abacked Yes1c198,723$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb76b…e136backed Yes1c198,634$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe45e…2fa6backed Yes1c198,036$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fcd…3f67backed Yes1c197,914$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x711d…6038backed Yes1c196,840$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a13…3b8dbacked Yes1c196,557$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.