TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester United wins the Premier League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,063,868
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,205,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,063,868 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes1c4,715,940$32,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,474.18180%0 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…2852backed Yes0c2,983,069$3,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,951.23120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes0c1,201,991$3,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,605.97150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1857…c0cebacked Yes0c1,074,077$4,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,094.39170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes1c817,355$5,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,966.25160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c761,720$2,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.219917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes1c738,447$7,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,267.072810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-75.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Yes1c539,197$4,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,896.281225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-56.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea8…d6b3backed Yes1c292,083$2,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.6720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes1c247,816$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.53267.7%2 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-88.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e2…fa6ebacked Yes1c228,931$2,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,229.8940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83de…fe62backed Yes0c206,000$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes1c200,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb08b…fbe9backed Yes1c184,582$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.65425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c171,198$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.64234.3%1 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-83.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf541…74f7backed Yes1c169,448$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.58150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5814…aeabbacked Yes1c165,886$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.0920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb6…9452backed Yes1c162,614$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.91616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-43.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acb…26aabacked Yes1c159,517$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2023…2d55backed Yes0c133,233$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.85219.5%2 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3368…9d0fbacked Yes1c129,665$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a7d…598dbacked Yes1c127,529$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda0a…bf12backed Yes1c126,837$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd7…3786backed Yes1c126,543$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda5…6a51backed Yes1c126,369$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68bc…dcdbbacked Yes1c125,955$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e53cbacked Yes1c125,361$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c0…22ebbacked Yes1c124,739$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4774…fe30backed Yes1c124,334$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61b6…46d3backed Yes1c124,027$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb21…e1b4backed Yes1c123,868$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9fc…e194backed Yes1c123,524$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6043…8c28backed Yes1c123,496$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6208…ac4bbacked Yes1c123,416$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55f7…e6c0backed Yes1c122,525$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d1…7319backed Yes1c122,444$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc146…42e3backed Yes1c122,233$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06cb…7126backed Yes1c122,141$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a84…e397backed Yes1c122,063$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e4…0a5dbacked Yes1c121,984$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x017c…33bebacked Yes1c121,961$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc7…79a5backed Yes1c121,697$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94b5…e292backed Yes1c121,697$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd935…2999backed Yes1c121,450$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d9…8588backed Yes1c121,332$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0160…dcbbbacked Yes1c121,296$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a4d…609fbacked Yes1c120,870$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06dc…b1e0backed Yes1c120,738$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45f2…1506backed Yes1c120,704$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d75…8f72backed Yes1c120,668$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e4…ef65backed Yes1c120,400$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b99…7716backed Yes1c120,319$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf612…a559backed Yes1c119,977$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba66…f03dbacked Yes1c119,448$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba28…4cf5backed Yes1c119,426$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab5…3e24backed Yes1c119,276$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…d77dbacked Yes1c119,224$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6278…6929backed Yes1c119,156$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa3…a855backed Yes1c118,929$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x504d…9d86backed Yes1c118,709$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9942…c589backed Yes1c118,679$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed86…7c12backed Yes1c118,632$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x790e…114abacked Yes1c118,562$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa81…fe66backed Yes1c118,245$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8b…eb1bbacked Yes1c118,166$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf35…7bf3backed Yes1c118,004$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac67…33fabacked Yes1c118,003$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x933f…e60bbacked Yes1c117,967$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1525…1822backed Yes1c117,892$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x020e…9f77backed Yes1c117,827$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f4a…edbebacked Yes1c117,726$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb948…ce00backed Yes1c117,294$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf57c…9172backed Yes1c116,941$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1172…54bfbacked Yes1c116,892$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9e…205bbacked Yes1c116,592$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2401…1bd3backed Yes1c116,337$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c4…1267backed Yes1c116,127$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcd7…c0a7backed Yes1c116,056$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e50…532fbacked Yes1c115,884$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79b1…d932backed Yes1c115,670$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb9f…0624backed Yes1c115,551$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e93…af37backed Yes1c115,543$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ebb…c1dcbacked Yes1c115,483$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e01…4cb2backed Yes1c115,367$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe166…69cfbacked Yes1c115,339$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac6…6b17backed Yes1c115,212$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5c…2511backed Yes1c115,171$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac4d…193abacked Yes1c115,138$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21e0…b75abacked Yes1c115,118$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f2…142bbacked Yes1c114,919$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf986…61c1backed Yes1c114,881$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee68…9acfbacked Yes1c114,756$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1848…4a08backed Yes1c114,710$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c6…5aa3backed Yes1c114,426$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a70…261bbacked Yes1c114,424$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8183…f20abacked Yes1c114,236$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4414…af87backed Yes1c114,076$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d6b…d07dbacked Yes1c113,949$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32e2…2e7cbacked Yes1c113,903$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc59a…d89bbacked Yes1c113,858$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.