TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United wins the Premier League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,287,441
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,705,331

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,287,441 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf541…74f7backed Yes0c2,762,860$11,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,129.05150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d48…2852backed Yes0c967,535$2,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,118.97120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes1c787,039$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,650.4160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes1c592,425$3,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,439.92267.7%2 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-88.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes0c472,247$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.513116.1%5 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-70.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea8…d6b3backed Yes1c354,360$2,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,480.5220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c344,988$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.959917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd152…f201backed Yes1c307,102$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.6180%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb08b…fbe9backed Yes1c306,500$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c261,588$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.4234.3%1 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-83.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes1c251,345$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.3313547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e01…ca83backed Yes1c200,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb683…41e0backed Yes1c162,490$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes0c155,845$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.6210044%44 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cc3…2f17backed Yes2c138,526$2,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,197.0550%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes1c122,862$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.0213829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes1c100,685$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.2611638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Yes0c99,999$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002025%5 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c82,996$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.98313.2%1 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-95.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ac…6e16backed Yes1c82,357$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.371926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick20cpaid-32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74a1…2542backed Yes1c61,088$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.6330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c56,121$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.94372.7%1 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-80.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ed…b97bbacked Yes0c52,869$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1857…c0cebacked Yes0c40,313$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.46170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes1c39,224$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.1260%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe523…ef78backed Yes0c34,258$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes1c33,929$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.572817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-50.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes1c32,353$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.025712.3%7 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-39.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b65…c4b2backed Yes1c32,088$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.6230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32d8…f410backed Yes1c29,581$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4281…afbdbacked Yes1c29,356$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a99…eba2backed Yes1c29,183$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb1…ac6bbacked Yes1c29,182$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2204…f5d0backed Yes1c29,182$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5741…886ebacked Yes1c28,986$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes1c28,984$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.91140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1b…4e28backed Yes1c28,794$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…cc0cbacked Yes1c28,582$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed27…1980backed Yes1c28,577$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93a…0309backed Yes1c28,184$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c27,529$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.17500%0 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb817…153ebacked Yes1c26,999$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x549f…c945backed Yes1c26,993$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.971040%4 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick24cpaid-2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c26,720$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.81780%0 W · 78 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d71…8921backed Yes1c26,365$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c2f…ba95backed Yes1c26,199$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…1c43backed Yes1c26,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4511…f18cbacked Yes1c25,999$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9355…bce2backed Yes1c25,600$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23a…26f8backed Yes1c25,595$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3e…d623backed Yes1c25,195$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae6a…c4f1backed Yes1c24,861$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Yes1c24,195$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9750%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdcbd…233ebacked Yes0c23,333$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb613…517bbacked Yes1c23,000$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked Yes2c22,832$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.11323.1%1 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-94.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfeeb…0202backed Yes1c20,905$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefb8…d1c3backed Yes1c20,607$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.03333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-58.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x130e…f8ffbacked Yes1c19,780$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.24520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8e…6df9backed Yes0c19,000$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef4…7ffbbacked Yes1c18,659$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.611118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e3…f0ddbacked Yes1c18,301$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0d6…3e79backed Yes1c16,450$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.98333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4a…3883backed Yes1c16,024$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ae4…4efcbacked Yes1c15,167$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1c…4eabbacked Yes1c14,971$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a25…814ebacked Yes1c14,926$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac35…28dabacked Yes1c14,800$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b6…ac84backed Yes1c14,364$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e79…6137backed Yes1c14,123$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa524…324cbacked Yes1c14,123$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea15…d80fbacked Yes1c14,117$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93cd…9c9ebacked Yes1c14,025$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6614…bfecbacked Yes1c13,252$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.18425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-61.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf27…a7d3backed Yes1c13,012$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d8…fd9dbacked Yes1c12,978$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e3…246bbacked Yes1c12,855$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.791957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ed…5ba6backed Yes1c12,816$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf66…0c20backed Yes1c12,488$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd86…4b47backed Yes1c12,274$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf923…60f0backed Yes0c12,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x720f…fabbbacked Yes1c11,800$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7520…ff27backed Yes1c11,771$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3259…828fbacked Yes0c11,435$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf89e…1783backed Yes1c11,299$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd84…59a3backed Yes1c11,198$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a9…5a54backed Yes1c11,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fad…52f1backed Yes1c10,326$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x377c…4a10backed Yes1c10,000$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.591747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes1c10,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes1c10,000$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-85.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bfb…5988backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4847…42febacked Yes1c10,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes1c10,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick15cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ac…8d93backed Yes0c9,746$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7734…6ae5backed Yes0c9,746$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78fe…a1a3backed Yes0c9,645$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5392…be3ebacked Yes0c9,645$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f6…c89ebacked Yes1c9,400$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e0…7b18backed Yes0c9,384$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.