TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester City wins the Premier League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,810,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,215,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,810,965 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,886 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07e7…a343backed Yes0c3,168,596$4,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,474.942040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes0c905,413$2,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,755.983116.1%5 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-70.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aba…8d21backed Yes2c463,592$9,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,177.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c301,815$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.459917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe358…cdabbacked Yes0c186,060$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes1c152,354$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.979639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9a…a69ebacked Yes0c131,675$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes1c122,740$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.976953.6%37 W · 32 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes1c110,849$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.3525329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe38e…a3f7backed Yes4c106,968$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a5…4032backed Yes0c100,739$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.6440%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9caf…4e10backed Yes0c89,794$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef4…7ffbbacked Yes2c86,371$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.421118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes3c80,946$2,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,533.01520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-66.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3bb…279bbacked Yes0c76,342$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes4c75,878$2,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,988.142817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-50.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x694b…01c6backed Yes1c68,617$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked Yes3c64,108$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.18323.1%1 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-94.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5108…c229backed Yes0c63,985$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56dc…f02bbacked Yes3c62,098$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.1570%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34ac…6e16backed Yes2c61,279$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.161926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick20cpaid-32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa4…67a3backed Yes1c59,665$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7142…bf85backed Yes1c59,323$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aa0…e79bbacked Yes8c54,935$4,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,380.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes0c54,803$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6210044%44 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c54,119$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.24372.7%1 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-80.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a24…b0fcbacked Yes0c52,100$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes3c51,235$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.0516851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6121…56e4backed Yes1c50,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c53…d923backed Yes1c50,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd5…11e3backed Yes1c50,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ab…d085backed Yes1c50,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes2c45,778$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.261931.6%6 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick20cpaid-27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f36…f85abacked Yes1c44,466$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95b9…007fbacked Yes2c39,165$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.74520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-68.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes5c37,374$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.4720819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb9c…d429backed Yes35c37,111$13,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,079.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes8c36,477$2,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,878.87205%1 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-82.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a5…d8d6backed Yes0c33,900$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e61…9860backed Yes1c31,426$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes3c30,784$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.7960%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0885…451dbacked Yes3c30,762$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c29,990$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.27500%0 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Yes3c28,602$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.944447.7%21 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2023…2d55backed Yes2c28,425$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.44219.5%2 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85de…9d88backed Yes10c27,839$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,920.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c27,385$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.79780%0 W · 78 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes21c26,749$5,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,742.2466031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1936…8ae0backed Yes8c26,022$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,109.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9d…3d71backed Yes4c25,476$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa7…433abacked Yes0c25,100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x267c…22bbbacked Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes3c24,642$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.89248.3%2 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-75.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba53…e794backed Yes8c24,392$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,83220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0b98…ee05backed Yes0c24,000$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f77…b4e3backed Yes8c23,695$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Yes5c23,479$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.961631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes1c23,047$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes39c22,498$8,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,745.534211.9%5 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a22…0bb4backed Yes0c22,150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes3c22,005$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.0970%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb81b…f42dbacked Yes3c21,725$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes3c21,661$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.6513829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac60…1e66backed Yes0c21,500$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba8…8064backed Yes0c21,000$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d85…8393backed Yes0c20,579$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.63160%0 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes4c20,333$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.564434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdf7…4e91backed Yes0c20,250$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b0d…ed1abacked Yes0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab3f…55babacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0d4…dbcdbacked Yes0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a6b…7ac2backed Yes0c19,750$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f1d…a4e1backed Yes0c19,500$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a21…e822backed Yes0c19,250$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d2b…f218backed Yes0c18,500$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe61…4665backed Yes4c17,426$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.9320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Yes1c17,374$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.995141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Yes11c17,324$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.069037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f8…e834backed Yes1c16,367$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff4b…334ebacked Yes3c15,602$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e8…2688backed Yes3c15,378$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.513938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac92…9d64backed Yes33c15,291$5,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,074.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes1c15,243$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.07200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5090…ea23backed Yes4c15,203$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f06…4dabbacked Yes0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd0…9ff8backed Yes4c14,910$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…20bbbacked Yes3c14,886$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01a8…0f4cbacked Yes4c14,620$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb0…28b5backed Yes3c14,617$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.12714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-76%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce10…b041backed Yes1c14,349$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-67.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a0…f723backed Yes1c14,346$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43dc…48a0backed Yes4c13,927$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bd…e9dfbacked Yes4c13,920$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x868b…a5d0backed Yes0c13,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f59…775bbacked Yes4c12,727$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes20c12,677$2,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,577.547540%30 W · 45 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x833e…e6b8backed Yes10c12,530$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cd7…fc41backed Yes0c12,485$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5af7…4c49backed Yes0c12,290$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e2…fa6ebacked Yes6c12,177$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.