TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb5bb…39f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Chess at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST4434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$204.26
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$213
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+239%+$282
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$111
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+566.7%+$85
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+138.1%+$58
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+163.2%+$248
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$94
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$114
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+170.3%+$188.99
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$107.99
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$128
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+163.2%+$55.8
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$54
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$112
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+188.1%+$228.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$53.2
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$123.5
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST4346.5%20 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+81.8%+$89.98
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+400%+$104
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$106
Will Getafe CF win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+80.2%+$89
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+150%+$60
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$132
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$61.5
Will Girona FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$28.5
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$92
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$192
Will Burgos CF win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+308.2%+$75.49
Will Getafe CF win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40.99
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+185.7%+$64.99
Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Will SD Huesca win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will CD Eldense win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$16.64
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+127.3%+$56
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+170.3%+$51.08
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+156.4%+$152.25
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.6%+$94.85
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$102.2
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+122.2%+$48.88
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$31.83
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$28.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$24.1
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$355.36
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$16.36
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Barcelona?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+37%+$11.1
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+58.7%+$74
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+52.1%+$68.55
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+139%+$68
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-67.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Chess — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$110.92
Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$22.1
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+31.6%+$92.38
Will Game 14 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$14.26
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Ding Liren win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$41.1
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 13 of the World Chess Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+61.3%+$15.2
Will Game 13 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Ding Liren win Game 13 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$36
All 9 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitória SC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$24.35
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+51.5%+$68
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$16.57
South Korean President impeached in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$19.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Navy vs. Armybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+100%+$21.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+28.2%+$22.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$27.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$10.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.