Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e779305d3f5b877293b5eb9645bb57775a547470bc07501889ed3b7d20dc453
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $370,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $392,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $370,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked No | 66c | 75,000$49,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,500 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 34c | 38,823$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,199.98 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 34c | 36,522$12,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,366.57 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 66c | 28,540$18,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,843.85 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 33c | 23,127$7,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,660.23 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 16,758$12,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,717.42 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa5…0c23backed Yes | 34c | 15,924$5,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,408.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 7,624$5,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.98 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 35c | 7,150$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.5 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…5c37backed Yes | 33c | 6,061$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea66…68ffbacked No | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 5,210$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.79 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked No | 68c | 3,662$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.21 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 3,421$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.91 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…292ebacked No | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 67c | 3,000$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.55 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 34c | 2,940$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 67c | 2,815$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.29 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,775$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.95 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 67c | 2,368$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.14 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…ba53backed No | 67c | 2,209$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 19c | 2,011$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.56 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 1,986$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.1 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 68c | 1,961$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.9 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes | 13c | 1,767$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 71c | 1,652$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.84 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 65c | 1,344$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.32 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…dac8backed Yes | 13c | 1,289$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.55 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 34c | 1,264$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.8 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,177$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,118$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.15 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 67c | 1,051$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.72 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…3f31backed Yes | 33c | 1,041$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.6 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed No | 69c | 869.57$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…975ebacked Yes | 35c | 771.43$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 34c | 734.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.74 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 67c | 664$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.27 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 65c | 617.72$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.94 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17c8…72a6backed Yes | 23c | 609$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…75d7backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 66c | 555$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed No | 68c | 552.7$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.86 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…27ffbacked Yes | 11c | 547.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 29c | 546.41$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 68c | 525.45$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.16 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 67c | 499.98$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 66c | 499.95$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 35c | 462.46$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.86 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 9c | 410.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x03b9…7e74backed Yes | 3c | 399.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 32c | 397.71$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.97 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 33c | 390.91$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed No | 68c | 382.96$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 68c | 364.71$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.71 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 19c | 363.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 32c | 357.14$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.04 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…adadbacked Yes | 12c | 341.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed No | 67c | 338.08$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.08 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 67c | 336.7$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 68c | 315$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.86 | 157 | 64.3%101 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed No | 68c | 314.12$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked No | 68c | 313.24$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a7…eb44backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…28b6backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 14c | 290.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 255 | 30.2%77 W · 178 L | -22.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 69c | 285$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Yes | 35c | 275.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 273.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 19c | 262.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked Yes | 32c | 261.69$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked No | 71c | 253.52$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb9…7bf4backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Yes | 34c | 231$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 32c | 226.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 67c | 221.95$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13cc…7ff2backed Yes | 34c | 210.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 68c | 210$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 68c | 206.18$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 32c | 204.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…a38dbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 11c | 199.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-22?this page
- Will Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.