TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc35b…28b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
274
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Serie A at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT9537.9%36 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$115
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+74%+$59.23
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$140.55
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.04
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.64
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.16
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.88
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.38
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.84
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8142%34 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$63.52
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$110.46
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$67.36
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$120.67
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$188.1
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT5738.6%22 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+174.4%+$95.93
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$17.78
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.45
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+185.4%+$111.26
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$144.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$341.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$101
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.84
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$22.75
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.84
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-65.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.49
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Inter win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Juventus win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+129.5%+$25.89
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.