Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x149a8242ec4eee7c05a9054413f77fd5555882addf8a40ddcdf7f61e3350ad19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 36c | 40,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,399.82 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 65c | 33,252$21,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,738.13 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 66c | 16,571$10,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,634.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 15,011$10,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,996.01 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 34c | 14,563$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.34 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 45c | 10,753$4,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,886.76 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 34c | 10,115$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 64c | 10,087$6,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,633.71 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.88 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…d74cbacked Yes | 31c | 7,521$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 60c | 6,606$3,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.91 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 36c | 6,465$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.33 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Yes | 36c | 5,267$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.98 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed No | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 65c | 4,169$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.14 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 34c | 3,833$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 66c | 3,431$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 64c | 3,383$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.8 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 66c | 3,091$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.83 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeadc…e41dbacked Yes | 36c | 3,019$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 32c | 2,478$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.79 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 25c | 1,967$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…90dfbacked No | 59c | 1,764$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 45c | 1,731$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.05 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 33c | 1,700$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.99 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked No | 65c | 1,649$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.27 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1067…9bd3backed No | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7f…08d9backed Yes | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 59c | 1,490$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.27 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 37c | 1,363$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 44c | 1,170$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.2 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 73c | 1,118$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.85 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Yes | 58c | 1,016$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…1276backed No | 64c | 999.92$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…d131backed No | 65c | 982.46$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 75c | 979$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.12 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f09…b474backed No | 47c | 907.16$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…f478backed Yes | 57c | 821.07$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 64c | 815.14$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.88 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe644…1dffbacked Yes | 58c | 699.83$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 76c | 556$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.44 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…a35dbacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…77c9backed Yes | 57c | 540.89$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 65c | 540.78$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.64 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 36c | 532.02$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…56a1backed Yes | 23c | 500.5$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes | 25c | 489$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.91 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 34c | 482.5$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.05 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 52c | 459.14$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 35c | 456.92$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 33c | 456.89$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 56c | 449.95$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.47 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 64c | 413.1$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.72 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb9…351fbacked Yes | 35c | 410$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 64c | 407.74$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.79 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…e3b6backed Yes | 38c | 399.1$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.53 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f7…e1d8backed Yes | 35c | 386.9$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked Yes | 57c | 370.54$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.42 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…212dbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…8c50backed Yes | 41c | 365.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 355.05$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.08 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…09a8backed Yes | 23c | 355$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67aa…b88cbacked Yes | 36c | 350$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…a111backed Yes | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e3febacked Yes | 36c | 349.04$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 36c | 347.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.01 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 65c | 334$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Yes | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 29c | 327.03$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.41 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 36c | 322$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 54c | 311.63$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.79 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 65c | 306.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.16 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 63c | 303.71$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…01a9backed Yes | 34c | 294.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 70c | 285$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 35c | 279.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a17…a276backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456b…eb7ebacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…23bcbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-28?this page
- Will Atalanta vs. AC Milan end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.