TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc72b…3756

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
217
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 60 out of 100; worst Asian League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2941.4%12 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick25cpaid+2.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.62
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$26.54
Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100.1
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.14
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+130.6%+$123.53
Will Trump send the national guard to Chicago?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+134.3%+$53.71
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.43
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will Jared Kushner be a member of the Trump administration? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+338.6%+$1,231.89
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+150%+$119.48
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$58.4
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+35.1%+$78
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+151.7%+$355.55
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+94.2%+$97
Will Trump nominate Thomas Homan for Homeland Security Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+100%+$150
Will Trump nominate Mike Lee for Attorney General?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$10.5
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+100%+$20
Will Trump nominate Vivek Ramaswamy for Secretary of State?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$34.4
Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,723Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$1,723.07
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$3,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$3,082.95
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,863Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+134.4%+$6,533.51
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$175.5
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$125.98
Will Denmark win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+72.4%+$70.55
Will Scotland vs. Denmark end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+61.3%+$63.83
Will Brazil vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+117.4%+$143.64
Will Poland vs. Netherlands end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$199.5
Will Poland win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+37%+$71.82
Will Republic of Ireland vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+26.6%+$12.45
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21.94
Will Iceland vs. France end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$154.5
Will Kosovo win on 2025-10-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.79
Will Iceland win on 2025-10-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+52.3%+$77.25
Will France win on 2025-10-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$96.75
Will Sweden win on 2025-10-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$6.19
Will Sweden vs. Kosovo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.16
Will Malta vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$10.92
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-10-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.21
Will Spain win on 2025-10-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.33
Will Norway win on 2025-10-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.32
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-81.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$33.6
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21.05
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.53
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.89
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.24
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.14
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.56
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+25%+$22.28
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$144
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$64.8
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+51.5%+$17
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$41.36
Will Derby County FC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+96.1%+$44.1
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-11-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+132.6%+$50.16
Will Oxford United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$22
Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-11-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$64.24
Will Norwich City FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+400%+$40.92
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12.62
Will Brentford win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$105.2
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$163.06
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$63.12
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+53.2%+$6.37
Will Newcastle vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+69.2%+$7.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Almería vs. SD Huesca end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$41.89
Will UD Almería win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+194.1%+$46.86
Will Mallorca vs. Osasuna end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12.25
Will Mallorca win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+108.3%+$13
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$26.07
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$16.61
Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+112.8%+$20.01
Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30.2
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$62
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+25%+$28
Will Sevilla vs. Mallorca end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$44.8
Will Mallorca win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.2
Will Real Oviedo vs. Espanyol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$52.44
Will Espanyol win on 2025-10-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.18
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.24
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+43.8%+$49.68
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$75.83
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+38.8%+$36.67
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$21.58
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+29.9%+$19.09
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$34.03
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$23.49
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+37%+$22.95
Will Liverpool FC vs. PSV end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+28.2%+$18.7
Will PSV win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$38.25
Will Páfos FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50.52
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.58
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+68.5%+$33.73
Will Manchester City FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+25%+$16.6
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$43.16
All 15 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid+29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ceará SC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+29.9%+$19.78
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$43.86
Will Ceará SC vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$56.76
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$48.1
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50.4
Will FC Juárez vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+35.1%+$23.4
Will FC Juárez win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$33.3
Will CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$39.53
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$180.6
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$154.56
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2025-10-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$125.58
Will CD Riestra win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will CA River Plate vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.76
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.36
Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$35
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Rangers end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will PAOK win on 2025-10-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will KRC Genk vs. Ferencvarosi TC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will Plzen vs. Malmo FF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will AS Roma vs. Lille end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Lille win on 2025-10-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will SC Braga win on 2025-10-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,092.8
Will Panathinaikos vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+809.1%+$280.35
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+43.3%+$7.55
Falcons vs. Jetsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Saints vs. Dolphinsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.07
Cardinals vs. Buccaneersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.14
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+138.1%+$145
Giants vs. Lionsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+78.6%+$88
Spread: Packers (-1.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
Spread: Packers (-2.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10.14
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$230
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$85.5
Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$102.6
Will Atalanta vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$185.25
Will Napoli vs. Inter end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$60.75
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.77
Will Parma win on 2025-09-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.99
Will Torino win on 2025-09-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$40.09
Will Parma vs. Torino end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$53.45
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$185.63
Will AC Milan vs. Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+32.9%+$137.53
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick35cpaid+75.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.56
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.83
Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.82
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+130.3%+$41.81
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+367.2%+$271.94
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+427.1%+$254.46
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+39.3%+$14.8
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+113%+$78.7
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-65.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win the 2025 Asia Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.93
Will Pakistan win the 2025 Asia Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$41.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+404.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump tweet 80-89 times Nov 1-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+404.1%+$81.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $8B and $9B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$17.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.