Fifa International · resolved market
Will Sweden win on 2025-10-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81e3d101c9e2615382249e34533c72ff78991599dff8a67bfb925e55e437f32e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68a1…7c68backed Yes | 17c | 9,150$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 26c | 4,383$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243.41 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 74c | 2,849$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.72 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 2,421$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.29 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 2,388$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.51 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed No | 27c | 2,330$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.94 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 26c | 2,008$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.21 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,797$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,791$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.76 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 73c | 1,524$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.54 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…12b4backed Yes | 72c | 1,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 26c | 1,249$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.99 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 74c | 1,155$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked No | 59c | 1,144$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.1 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 34c | 1,127$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.1 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 16c | 1,008$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 50c | 817$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.75 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 28c | 800.54$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.39 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…f0e7backed Yes | 46c | 755.66$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…6258backed Yes | 16c | 631.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 26c | 596.94$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.73 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…6937backed Yes | 75c | 586.67$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed No | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 78c | 562$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.36 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked Yes | 74c | 548.54$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed No | 28c | 500$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 25c | 478.35$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.76 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 73c | 410.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 25c | 399.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.96 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 67c | 359.94$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.51 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 28c | 356.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked No | 29c | 343.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.88 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +57%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 31c | 319.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 72c | 312.61$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.08 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 26c | 307.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 78c | 291.85$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a9…4a33backed Yes | 74c | 277.97$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 74c | 271.62$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed No | 69c | 230.74$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 74c | 230.04$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Yes | 33c | 227.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 66c | 214.71$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…c074backed No | 26c | 208$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Yes | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Yes | 47c | 204.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3d…bdddbacked Yes | 72c | 180$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…7163backed No | 28c | 180$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 31cpaid | +253.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…da9cbacked Yes | 74c | 175$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 78c | 165.86$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 78c | 159.73$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x936a…928bbacked Yes | 74c | 156.62$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed Yes | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 74c | 148.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 26c | 145.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.03 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b7…2d4ebacked Yes | 74c | 143.69$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 26c | 142.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd706…a916backed Yes | 74c | 140.19$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 72c | 140$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d8…1cdfbacked Yes | 39c | 127$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 72c | 120$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385b…03c9backed Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…fa87backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 26c | 100.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…e46fbacked Yes | 72c | 99.57$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 59c | 85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…bca3backed Yes | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b3…2beabacked No | 28c | 71.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 28c | 71.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…4d7abacked Yes | 73c | 70$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…b289backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…0d12backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…c0f4backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…a63ebacked Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 34c | 60.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed No | 27c | 59.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 27c | 56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…8166backed No | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 41cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 74c | 47.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37c…189abacked Yes | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a1…bababacked Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed No | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 123 | 27.6%34 W · 89 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…cc93backed No | 27c | 38.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…8b56backed Yes | 74c | 36.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d3…898dbacked Yes | 35c | 35.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86af…1562backed Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 66cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sweden win on 2025-10-13?this page
- Will Kosovo win on 2025-10-13?Yes won
- Will Sweden vs. Kosovo end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.