TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x080a…8b56

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst F1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT4344.2%19 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.95
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$122.73
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$42.06
1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$16.74
Spread: Magic (-1.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+61.3%+$11.01
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.39
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.8
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$21.93
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+70.2%+$32.17
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$27.12
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$54.53
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$89
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+185.7%+$65
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$96.87
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$70
Grizzlies vs. Thunderbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$124.53
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+96.3%+$150.22
Nets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+318.4%+$47.76
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+117.9%+$151.95
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$476.1
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+96.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.59
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+98.6%+$96.57
Figueiredo vs. Jacksonbacked Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+261.6%+$39.23
Diniz vs. Pintobacked Pinto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$34.75
Jan Blachowicz vs. Carlos Ulbergbacked Blachowicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
Molly McCann vs. Alexia Thainarabacked McCann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Jordan Vucenic vs. Chris Duncanbacked Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$154
Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Andrey Pulyaevbacked Pulyaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Yan vs. Figueiredobacked Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$27.5
Cong vs. Fernandesbacked Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+669.2%+$158.94
All 10 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2025, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mercedes have the highest Constructor score at the Chinese GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.6
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 China Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will George Russell win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.01
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$40.39
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+99.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.94
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.74
Spread: Packers (-14.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Broncos vs. Bengalsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$98.13
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.76
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.39
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$30.94
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$37.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$26.31
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$121.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$19.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$26.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.