NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0480a52ab2d0239ddeebb5fff244844b51ff1f81c46f55cf7132219741c626e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Spurs | 53c | 76,473$40,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,576.17 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Suns | 47c | 41,937$19,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,234.5 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Suns | 46c | 10,137$4,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,474.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 48c | 9,445$4,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,886.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Spurs | 53c | 5,653$2,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.35 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Suns | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Suns | 46c | 4,315$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.21 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Suns | 48c | 4,166$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.32 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 47c | 3,857$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.12 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Spurs | 49c | 2,469$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.69 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Suns | 48c | 2,109$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 51c | 1,791$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Spurs | 50c | 1,173$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.71 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Suns | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ef…cecebacked Suns | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Suns | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1d…3de0backed Suns | 51c | 581.16$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Suns | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Suns | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 46c | 427$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.58 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Spurs | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…d923backed Spurs | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Spurs | 51c | 250$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Suns | 46c | 205$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…8117backed Suns | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Suns | 50c | 151.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Suns | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…de71backed Spurs | 50c | 116.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Suns | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Spurs | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Suns | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Suns | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Suns | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Suns | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Suns | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Suns | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Suns | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Suns | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Suns | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Suns | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Suns | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3698…7160backed Suns | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Suns | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed Suns | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…f12fbacked Suns | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Spurs | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…8b56backed Suns | 51c | 29.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Suns | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Suns | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Spurs | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Suns | 54c | 22.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Spurs | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Spurs vs. SunsSuns won
- Spurs vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Suns: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Suns: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Suns: O/U 235.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.