NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4d93b5bdef68ad54d82cf3fdcebea2f4a2a7f9caa96c599d3ac7e5e335649df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 53c | 7,060$3,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 47c | 6,840$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202.14 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Spurs | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Suns | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1d…1e31backed Spurs | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5442…6fa7backed Suns | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 56c | 2,866$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Spurs | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…e970backed Spurs | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…00f6backed Suns | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Suns | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Suns | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Spurs | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…5962backed Spurs | 50c | 760$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns | 46c | 650$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Suns | 46c | 620.4$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.57 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Suns | 46c | 568$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.72 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Suns | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Suns | 56c | 499$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.56 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Spurs | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Suns | 46c | 380.43$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.43 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Spurs | 53c | 360.45$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.04 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Spurs | 57c | 288$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.16 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Suns | 43c | 288$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.16 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Suns | 46c | 279$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.66 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Suns | 46c | 215.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.09 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Suns | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Suns | 46c | 202.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.26 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Suns | 48c | 199$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Suns | 46c | 170$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c1…fbb6backed Suns | 47c | 142.55$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Spurs | 56c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Suns | 45c | 119.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Suns | 46c | 113.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Suns | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Suns | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Spurs | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…6d09backed Suns | 47c | 91.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Suns | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Suns | 78c | 83.1$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Suns | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs | 52c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 47c | 55.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…9f2abacked Spurs | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Suns | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Spurs | 52c | 47.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…26a8backed Spurs | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Spurs | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…5365backed Spurs | 51c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spurs vs. SunsSuns won
- Spurs vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Suns: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Suns: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Suns: O/U 235.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.