TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75aa…9f2a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST3250%16 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,776Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+59.8%+$2,853.78
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+28.1%+$143.16
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$162.5
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$220
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+63.9%+$62.4
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,749Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,749
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.6
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,053Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,052.89
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$1,646.99
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,463Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+43.4%+$1,937.54
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$159
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11,190Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+60.9%+$6,809.93
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$60
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$959Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$958.99
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+143.4%+$516.18
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$808Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+60.9%+$492
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+25.5%+$229.8
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST3253.1%17 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$115.5
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+49.3%+$33
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$26.79
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$499.48
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$39.2
Mavericks vs. Heat: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$45.2
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+92.3%+$27.84
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30.25
Spread: Raptors (-12.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$45.39
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+92.3%+$41.28
Thunder vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+89.6%+$189
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$114
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$104
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+26.6%+$42
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+117.4%+$36
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+44.9%+$59.75
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$28.2
Kings vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+33.3%+$75
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$27
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+39.9%+$57
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$40
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+37%+$54
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$79.11
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,465Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,464.91
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+56.3%+$72
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.42
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+55.9%+$168.41
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$222
Will Trump say "Pacific" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+39.7%+$28.6
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-55.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$26.55
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+48.4%+$32.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Scorigami in NFL Week 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$79.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,554Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$4,553.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shohei Ohtani be named the 2025 World Series MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$77.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.