Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33d3bf6f621c82978586a4e2aff6e4aa78efe44fb2792996928d1fcfaf3523df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 78c | 15,574$12,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,438.77 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 22c | 9,810$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.28 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 78c | 9,744$7,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.76 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 25c | 7,539$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.83 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 72c | 5,816$4,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.31 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 5,740$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.08 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 76c | 5,140$3,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.93 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Yes | 32c | 3,949$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 78c | 3,568$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.32 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 68c | 3,420$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.7 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 20c | 3,315$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.87 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes | 29c | 2,595$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…5897backed Yes | 22c | 2,222$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 1,961$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.51 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,848$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.18 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 31c | 1,594$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 22c | 1,514$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…eeb0backed Yes | 22c | 1,463$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930c…c735backed No | 79c | 1,463$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Yes | 41c | 1,352$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.93 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 77c | 1,320$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.65 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 20c | 1,271$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.2 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 77c | 1,180$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.5 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 31c | 1,006$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 20c | 1,004$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.99 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 26c | 969.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 24c | 955.69$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…0aaebacked Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 54c | 765.66$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.43 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…792bbacked Yes | 27c | 749.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 24c | 721.88$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 29c | 648.28$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 53c | 624$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.22 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 40c | 608.54$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.86 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…7d0ebacked Yes | 22c | 604.55$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked Yes | 26c | 600$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3667…75ffbacked No | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked Yes | 59c | 561.33$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…2833backed Yes | 23c | 543.95$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.54 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…5de2backed Yes | 57c | 525.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 80c | 511.36$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…5c91backed Yes | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…8792backed Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 78c | 479.36$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.46 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…1a28backed Yes | 59c | 435.66$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…f606backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 22c | 410$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 30c | 398.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 67c | 388.7$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.91 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 25c | 383.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…9443backed Yes | 59c | 370.54$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…5efabacked Yes | 30c | 369.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7b…0179backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9481…4931backed Yes | 22c | 341$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e349backed Yes | 22c | 340.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed No | 78c | 340.28$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…5e79backed Yes | 22c | 336.36$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Yes | 60c | 331.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 31c | 320.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…aaaebacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Yes | 32c | 312.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81dd…90f6backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 21c | 300$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…d976backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…34a2backed Yes | 27c | 278.51$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05af…7a22backed Yes | 31c | 274.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Yes | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 31c | 270.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 79c | 263$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 76c | 263$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2381…2b8fbacked Yes | 24c | 233.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…c9ddbacked Yes | 22c | 229$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…7850backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Yes | 28c | 226$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Yes | 37c | 225.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +11.6wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +73%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Yes | 20c | 222.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 21c | 221.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…c16ebacked Yes | 23c | 216.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 78c | 215.45$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…5129backed Yes | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…b665backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 32c | 199.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 20c | 187.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?this page
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.