TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x056a…611f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
222
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT7638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+71%+$2,981.38
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.79
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$334
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.55
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.01
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$235.7
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.66
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$79.8
Will Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+233.3%+$143.5
Will Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+212.5%+$55.25
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,500
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,158Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,158.28
Will Chelsea vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.1
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+300%+$300
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$933.33
Will Bournemouth vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+247.1%+$1,111.86
Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$550
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.28
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.29
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will Manchester City win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$733.33
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.94
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.57
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.62
Will Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$104.29
Will Barcelona vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.98
Will Liverpool vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.19
Will Juventus vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$72
Will Celtic win on 2025-08-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$997.43
FIFA Club World Cup: 200+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.38
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$388.49
FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)backed Flamengo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.63
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Fluminense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.21
Botafogo vs. Seattle Sounders: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.51
Palmeiras vs. FC Porto: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.64
Will Raphinha be the top Champions League scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+69.8%+$22.92
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$310.03
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+385.4%+$77.09
Champions League Final: 3+ goals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.24
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.92
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$158.49
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$152.99
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+57%+$174.37
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$190.9
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.08
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,462Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,158.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$612.93
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO1) - ESL One Birmingham Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,355.79
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.97
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Dota 2: Heroic vs Aurora (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+100%+$235.91
Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+90.7%+$38.21
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Xtreme Gamingbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$28.11
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$106.68
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.96
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Real Oviedo vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Girona FC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Real Sociedad vs. Villarreal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30.2
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25,848Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$11,612.9
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$450
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$696.34
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$14.1
Will Barcelona vs. Real Madrid end in draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Barcelona beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+90.5%+$25.35
Will Barcelona vs. Atlético Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.85
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$88
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$31.18
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.99
Will Bayern München vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$154
Will FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.71
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+145.3%+$356.1
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Borussia Dortmund vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$106.36
Will Dortmund beat Leverkusen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$35.98
Will Leverkusen vs. Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$152.04
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200.57
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$13.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $120,000 October 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$117
Will Ethereum dip to $4,300 October 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$144.42
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$79.24
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$40.2
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+64.6%+$18.56
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Bitcoin all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+67.1%+$51.97
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-45%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+217%+$152.76
Allen vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$282.07
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$26
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,071Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$481.11
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+61.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BYU vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.