La Liga · resolved market
Will Barcelona vs. Atlético Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2591ccaf7578ac9489351e825f5d20a7367322c1f871f5f5bb36b42f7fa17439
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbce8…4a44backed Yes | 27c | 1,273$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 23c | 986.51$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.99 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 917.37$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.93 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…af66backed Yes | 27c | 480$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Yes | 36c | 469.51$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked No | 75c | 426.67$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 71c | 409.99$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 73c | 399.53$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 29c | 274.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 26c | 201.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 28c | 190$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…d5e7backed Yes | 30c | 166$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 141.76$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 72c | 127$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 73c | 115$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 72c | 106$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a0…95e9backed Yes | 70c | 68.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 72c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed Yes | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 72c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…9b81backed Yes | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Barcelona vs. Atlético Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlético Madrid beat BarcelonaNo won
- Will Barcelona beat Atlético Madrid?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.