La Liga · resolved market
Will Barcelona beat Atlético Madrid?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd96b3a8e5e233d30229424f8ab9dcd97e19e45631787a9e4cea6e43975465569
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 4c | 5,874$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 47c | 4,222$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.03 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 55c | 3,610$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 35c | 2,845$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.72 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 44c | 2,283$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.91 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 55c | 2,184$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.85 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed No | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 55c | 1,360$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 74c | 1,267$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 45c | 1,013$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.43 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…9679backed Yes | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked No | 59c | 851.04$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 46c | 777.04$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.26 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 53c | 682.67$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.32 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 45c | 666.02$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.64 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 55c | 664.3$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.6 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…30a3backed Yes | 45c | 663$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed No | 56c | 600.73$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…323cbacked Yes | 42c | 523.63$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5613…10c9backed No | 58c | 520$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…7535backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…be2ebacked Yes | 7c | 499.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +89%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…7222backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b12…30d8backed Yes | 45c | 444.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.24 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…51f3backed Yes | 67c | 369.98$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 55c | 340.03$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.16 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6d…ee83backed Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed No | 57c | 287.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…12e6backed No | 50c | 260$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…d5e7backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes | 24c | 247.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.01 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…4f0abacked Yes | 45c | 223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 47c | 212.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.92 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 15c | 201$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d6…d072backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Yes | 67c | 183.88$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 55c | 182.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed No | 71c | 175$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9d…74fbbacked Yes | 44c | 171.19$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 55c | 164$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Yes | 37c | 162.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.12 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 42c | 152.79$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed Yes | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes | 46c | 145.65$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…56b5backed Yes | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 41c | 139.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…1b1cbacked Yes | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…8c3bbacked Yes | 45c | 112.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…b39dbacked Yes | 45c | 111.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 43c | 100.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2c…18eebacked No | 56c | 99.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e13…cb4cbacked Yes | 45c | 99.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807b…89b7backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 57c | 88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 15c | 85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed No | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…7ce1backed Yes | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…8a5ebacked Yes | 42c | 71.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ee…d511backed Yes | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 30cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…8fe0backed Yes | 44c | 67.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +69%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf634…3c9ebacked Yes | 45c | 66.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b83…e97abacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes | 37c | 52.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe520…28b0backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00af…4e8bbacked Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…7057backed Yes | 45c | 47.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…3462backed Yes | 36c | 47.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4e…93d4backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff2…5dfebacked Yes | 45c | 43.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1003…8965backed Yes | 45c | 41.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…8718backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…398abacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…ab0bbacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb698…3979backed Yes | 41c | 28.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Barcelona beat Atlético Madrid?this page
- Will Atlético Madrid beat BarcelonaNo won
- Will Barcelona vs. Atlético Madrid end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.