La Liga · resolved market
Will Atlético Madrid beat Barcelona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad23d40fa3ae83711bddc1cb9857a1a38e63a33234bb9a8540b25bc01d44b56a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 32c | 2,459$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.76 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce8…4a44backed Yes | 32c | 1,618$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 47c | 1,122$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 59c | 886.37$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.87 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed Yes | 80c | 726.41$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 32c | 627.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 49c | 469$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.81 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…12e6backed No | 68c | 396.39$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 31c | 333$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 68c | 295.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a97…1e93backed No | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked No | 78c | 257.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 80c | 230$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 24c | 222$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.53 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 40c | 220.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed No | 72c | 208.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Yes | 30c | 184.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…9ad5backed Yes | 31c | 174.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eba…217ebacked No | 35c | 157.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…1e43backed No | 72c | 155$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 68c | 130.73$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yes | 32c | 129.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 69c | 129$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x828f…fa80backed Yes | 32c | 127.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Yes | 30c | 124$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 72c | 111.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 60c | 104.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Yes | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…7667backed Yes | 32c | 78.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22bf…782dbacked No | 69c | 78.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…0a3ebacked Yes | 32c | 72.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…7135backed No | 70c | 64.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…28d5backed No | 72c | 54.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94e…ac9ebacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…f427backed Yes | 58c | 48.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed No | 64c | 42.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed No | 54c | 41.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc6…4ddebacked Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…be25backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…7791backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…be2ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +89%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 60c | 27.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7985…5ab3backed Yes | 64c | 22.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 70c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlético Madrid beat Barcelonathis page
- Will Barcelona beat Atlético Madrid?Yes won
- Will Barcelona vs. Atlético Madrid end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.