TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc67c…9ad5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT6317.5%11 W · 52 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-51.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$146.67
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$286.3
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$121.82
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$159.4
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advancebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT3735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$162.24
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.22
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.7%+$135.36
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+336.7%+$50.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+76.5%+$68.82
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Manchester City vs. Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Inter win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Inter win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+525%+$52.5
Will Inter win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$167.39
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Lille win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$33
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+150%+$15
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.29
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.58
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Berachain launch a token in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will USD0++ stabilize again before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Berachain airdrop in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Hyperliquid not launch a token in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$85
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick38cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.